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SuperDave84 View Drop Down
Robbie Keane
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ooh Thomas, how could you do this to me!

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Points: 21384 		Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote SuperDave84 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 May 2019 at 1:22pm
What are the predictions on the third seat? You'd have to think there's a very strong chance of it going to the Alliance. Once it gets down to the final five (DUP, SF, UUP, SDLP, Alliance), you'd figure that if the Alliance aren't fifth, they'll get enough transfers from whoever is (UUP or SDLP) to bump them above the other and into third. The latest polls have them all very close to one another for the third seat in the first round (all three are between 11 and 13%). The issue has to be Jim Allister's vote transferring exclusively to the DUP and on to the UUP but the flip side is the 5% of Green votes should heavily favour the Alliance.

Last time around, when the Alliance were eliminated, they had 55,000 votes; 34,000 transferred to the SDLP and only 7,000 to the UUP. If that happens again, on the latest polls, the SDLP could have a chance too, if Eastwood is somehow above Long when they get to the final five.


Slugger O'Toole has the Alliance as favourites anyway. And I swear I didn't actually read that article before I'd written everything else above.
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Roberto Baggio View Drop Down
Robbie Keane
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UNBELIEVABLE JEFF

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Any betting on it?
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Newryrep View Drop Down
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Just can't get enough of lists

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I will vote tactically , hopefully Eastwood takes it but as has been said alliance are favorites for the third ,
Just as long as the third seat doesn't go to the a `unionist party`  will be progress nothwitshanding Aliiance are unionist with a small u
'Irish' Songs for an Irish team - no SPL EPL generic sh*te
Richard Dunne - 6th Sept 11 - best marshalling of a defence in Moscow since General Zukov Russia V Germany 1941
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Roberto Baggio View Drop Down
Robbie Keane
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UNBELIEVABLE JEFF

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Martina Anderson is a pretty brutal candidate for SF. Comes across as not very intelligent and that whiney aul voice would go through you.
I'll still vote for her all the same LOL
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horsebox View Drop Down
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Eastwood is a f**king bellend.
It was far across the sea,
When the devil got a hold of me,
He wouldn't set me free,
So he kept me soul for ransom.
na na na na na na na na na
na na na na na na na na.
I'm a sailor man from Glasgow to
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SuperDave84 View Drop Down
Robbie Keane
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ooh Thomas, how could you do this to me!

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Originally posted by Newryrep Newryrep wrote:

I will vote tactically , hopefully Eastwood takes it but as has been said alliance are favorites for the third ,
Just as long as the third seat doesn't go to the a `unionist party`  will be progress nothwitshanding Aliiance are unionist with a small u


Well then, all you need to do is the following:

Eastwood 1
Long 2

You don't particularly need to fill out the rest of the ballot paper: Anderson and Dodds will take the first two seats and if Eastwood doesn't take the third seat, it will go to Long or Kennedy. Nothing else looks feasible on the opinion polls.

All that being the case, if your position is that you want Eastwood to win but would prefer Long to Kennedy, then there's no need to do anything other than the above with your ballot paper. If, theoretically, you were to vote Eastwood 1, Bailey (Green) 2, Long 3, the result would be the same, if Eastwood is knocked out after Bailey: your vote would transfer to Long anyway.
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Ray Houghton
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Originally posted by Roberto Baggio Roberto Baggio wrote:

Martina Anderson is a pretty brutal candidate for SF. Comes across as not very intelligent and that whiney aul voice would go through you.
I'll still vote for her all the same LOL
She came across more like some hatchet-faced old fishwife that day in the EP 2 years ago when she told Theresa May to stick her Brexit plans where the sun don't shine. LOL
 
 
In fact, she might as well have just delivered that speech from the doorstep of a rundown council house, had a dressing gown on her and a cigarette in her hand just to really round off that fishwife effect and be done with it. LOL
The nation holds it's breath...YES, WE'RE THERE!!!
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Roberto Baggio View Drop Down
Robbie Keane
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Its really time Sinn Fein started getting rid of embarrassments like her.
They have some good intelligent, coherent up and coming politicians who could do a better job and would be a better image for the party.
 
Even her hairdo is like something out of the late 80s.
 
 
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Stickittotheman View Drop Down
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Originally posted by Guppy Guppy wrote:

After seeing the comments here, I watched the debate from last night. Northern Ireland, is truly in a different planet to the rest of the UK. It’s embarrassing. Having moved between Liverpool/Manchester the past few months and working with new characters everyday there was always one consistent trait, wanting to hear about Northern Ireland. Trying to explain it as non biased and normal as possible each time, still blew their minds. 

Martina Anderson shouldn’t be near an election in this day age, Allister has a Point ffs. The woman is a terrorist. SF has disappeared now for a few years, done quite literally nothing for anyone In the North, and yet she’ll be elected as she’s a Republican candidate, and a terrorist at that. It’s 2019, time to move on.

I may find some faith in the North if Naoimi Long is elected. She’s the only politician who has a clue, so to speak. Cares more about Northern Ireland, and the people in it then any other politician we have. Eastwood, as well would be much better than Anderson.
 
 
You lost me at 'terrorist'.
Walters coming back from an offside position but Shane Long was definitely onside- Shane Lonnggggggg.... has done it!!!!
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Stickittotheman View Drop Down
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Originally posted by SuperDave84 SuperDave84 wrote:

What are the predictions on the third seat? You'd have to think there's a very strong chance of it going to the Alliance. Once it gets down to the final five (DUP, SF, UUP, SDLP, Alliance), you'd figure that if the Alliance aren't fifth, they'll get enough transfers from whoever is (UUP or SDLP) to bump them above the other and into third. The latest polls have them all very close to one another for the third seat in the first round (all three are between 11 and 13%). The issue has to be Jim Allister's vote transferring exclusively to the DUP and on to the UUP but the flip side is the 5% of Green votes should heavily favour the Alliance.

Last time around, when the Alliance were eliminated, they had 55,000 votes; 34,000 transferred to the SDLP and only 7,000 to the UUP. If that happens again, on the latest polls, the SDLP could have a chance too, if Eastwood is somehow above Long when they get to the final five.


Slugger O'Toole has the Alliance as favourites anyway. And I swear I didn't actually read that article before I'd written everything else above.
 
 
All depends on the transfers. I wouldn't rule out Kennedy just yet although Long is in pole position to take the third seat. Eastwood has a good chance if he polls upwards of 90,000+
Walters coming back from an offside position but Shane Long was definitely onside- Shane Lonnggggggg.... has done it!!!!
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eireland View Drop Down
Ray Houghton
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Originally posted by Guppy Guppy wrote:

After seeing the comments here, I watched the debate from last night. Northern Ireland, is truly in a different planet to the rest of the UK. It’s embarrassing. Having moved between Liverpool/Manchester the past few months and working with new characters everyday there was always one consistent trait, wanting to hear about Northern Ireland. Trying to explain it as non biased and normal as possible each time, still blew their minds. 

Martina Anderson shouldn’t be near an election in this day age, Allister has a Point ffs. The woman is a terrorist. SF has disappeared now for a few years, done quite literally nothing for anyone In the North, and yet she’ll be elected as she’s a Republican candidate, and a terrorist at that. It’s 2019, time to move on.

I may find some faith in the North if Naoimi Long is elected. She’s the only politician who has a clue, so to speak. Cares more about Northern Ireland, and the people in it then any other politician we have. Eastwood, as well would be much better than Anderson.


Was she convicted of anything or pardoned by the good Friday agreement? 
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Roy Keane
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SF are some piece of work. Abstentionists (yes, yes, I know that’s what they were voted in on) in Westminster, hurlers from the ditch in Dublin, and in power in the North, without actually having to take an active role since Stormont has been suspended. And let’s not forget their historic and consistent opposition to EU integration, which is not washed away by being anti-Brexit.
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Liam Brady
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Martina Anderson is an excellent MEP
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Robbie Keane
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Originally posted by Stickittotheman Stickittotheman wrote:

Originally posted by Guppy Guppy wrote:

After seeing the comments here, I watched the debate from last night. Northern Ireland, is truly in a different planet to the rest of the UK. It’s embarrassing. Having moved between Liverpool/Manchester the past few months and working with new characters everyday there was always one consistent trait, wanting to hear about Northern Ireland. Trying to explain it as non biased and normal as possible each time, still blew their minds. 

Martina Anderson shouldn’t be near an election in this day age, Allister has a Point ffs. The woman is a terrorist. SF has disappeared now for a few years, done quite literally nothing for anyone In the North, and yet she’ll be elected as she’s a Republican candidate, and a terrorist at that. It’s 2019, time to move on.

I may find some faith in the North if Naoimi Long is elected. She’s the only politician who has a clue, so to speak. Cares more about Northern Ireland, and the people in it then any other politician we have. Eastwood, as well would be much better than Anderson.
 
 
You lost me at 'terrorist'.




I'm sure Byrner was on here before singing the praises of SF whilst being a Tory voter too.
It was far across the sea,
When the devil got a hold of me,
He wouldn't set me free,
So he kept me soul for ransom.
na na na na na na na na na
na na na na na na na na.
I'm a sailor man from Glasgow to
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pre Madonna View Drop Down
Robbie Keane
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I am MALDING

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Originally posted by Guppy Guppy wrote:

Originally posted by Deane Deane wrote:

Martina Anderson is an excellent MEP

She’s a convicted terrorist, that’s what she is. Released due to the GFA she defends so violently. In a modern society, no one in their right mind should be voting the woman. 

She blew her own city up, and wanted to blow England up. Chaos. You’d never see that elected anywhere else bar NI.
No fan of Anderson, but that is absolute bollocks. Plenty of people have done time for guerilla activities and been elected. Mandela, Otegi, Mujica etc. That's before going too far back in our own history...


Edited by pre Madonna - 23 May 2019 at 1:42am
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Ray Houghton
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Originally posted by pre Madonna pre Madonna wrote:

Originally posted by Guppy Guppy wrote:

Originally posted by Deane Deane wrote:

Martina Anderson is an excellent MEP

She’s a convicted terrorist, that’s what she is. Released due to the GFA she defends so violently. In a modern society, no one in their right mind should be voting the woman. 

She blew her own city up, and wanted to blow England up. Chaos. You’d never see that elected anywhere else bar NI.
No fan of Anderson, but that is absolute bollocks. Plenty of people have done time for guerilla activities and been elected. Mandela, Otegi, Mujica etc. That's before going too far back in our own history...

Clap
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Jack Charlton
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6 in a row, alive alive oh..

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Originally posted by Guppy Guppy wrote:

Originally posted by Deane Deane wrote:

Martina Anderson is an excellent MEP

She’s a convicted terrorist, that’s what she is. Released due to the GFA she defends so violently. In a modern society, no one in their right mind should be voting the woman. 

She blew her own city up, and wanted to blow England up. Chaos. You’d never see that elected anywhere else bar NI.

I presume for the sake of consistency you would refer to the lads in 1916 and the War of Independence who were caught and tried as convicted terrorists too? 
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Stickittotheman View Drop Down
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Originally posted by Guppy Guppy wrote:

Originally posted by Deane Deane wrote:

Martina Anderson is an excellent MEP

She’s a convicted terrorist, that’s what she is. Released due to the GFA she defends so violently. In a modern society, no one in their right mind should be voting the woman. 

She blew her own city up, and wanted to blow England up. Chaos. You’d never see that elected anywhere else bar NI.


I can forward you a GCSE book on Ireland which may be of help to you. It may be above your level but stick at it.


Edited by Stickittotheman - 23 May 2019 at 10:19am
Walters coming back from an offside position but Shane Long was definitely onside- Shane Lonnggggggg.... has done it!!!!
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