Coronavirus - Remain Calm. Do Not Panic

sid waddell wrote: Fruice wrote: sid waddell wrote: Positivity rate on swabs has gone back up from 13.82% yesterday to 16.35% today I fear we may see a rebound up again as the UK variant takes full hold You can’t really take a sample of 1 and hopefully just a a blip. It should be going down interactions are away down. Another key indicator would be the actual numbers of swaps taken if this is down we are heading in the right direction. The word on the ground is that it’s quieter at GP level than it was last week which is a good indicator of things moving in a positive direction. I hope it's just a blip, but the cold, hard logic of a variant which is at least 55% more transmissible is very worrying That variant has increased from 10 to 25 to 45% of our cases - the 45% figure was two or three days back, based on samples which presumably were taken several days previously - so the 45% figure would be from at least a week ago You'd have to imagine that 45% figure has probably increased to at least 55-60% right now As that percentage moves up, the cold hard logic of a more transmissible variant predominating takes over - it will be harder to get the number of cases down, and if and when there's any release or relaxing of restrictions, or adherence to them reduces, the ability of the virus to spread and increase the amount of cases much more quickly takes over

Jackal wrote: I think when the over 70s get done then we'll go out of restrictions.

Not to be a scaremonger lads but the Brazil strain looking very dangerous, might be resistant to vaccine. Borders need to close. People need to start taking this seriously, the more people mix the higher the chance of this thing mutating

Baldrick wrote: Jackal wrote: I think when the over 70s get done then we'll go out of restrictions.  I doubt it.  They may lessen slightly that's about it.

At the point when all vulnerable groups and HCW have been vaccinated id imagine that the financial implications of continued restrictions will come to prominence. By then NPHET will more or less have their job done and vaccination roll out will be priority. Eventually there'll come a time when covid will be another illnesses that cause death like cancer, heart disease, stroke and flu. Then we will be living with covid.

Baldrick wrote: I dont think you understand science

planning wrote: Baldrick wrote: I dont think you understand science You don't have to understand science. You do though have to able to understand black and white data. It shows 109 people killed in two days in this country, a significant spike in fatalities. If you can read that, then it's understandable to have concerns about how things are going.

planning wrote: Baldrick wrote: I dont think you understand science You don't have to understand science. You do though have to able to understand black and white data. It shows 109 people killed in two days in this country, a significant spike in fatalities. If you can read that, then it's understandable to have concerns about how things are going.

My mistake on the Brazil one guys, looks like it's evading the Chinese vaccine only. Sorry. I am super fearful about a mutation

Planners has some seriously high standards for vaccines. 

Edited by irishmufc - 13 Jan 2021 at 8:00pm