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colemanY2K View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote colemanY2K Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 26 Jan 2018 at 11:30am
It has already been confirmed it will be used by the European Confederation for Qatar 2022.
 
 
Note this is different to what FIFA are considering which is a worldwide Nations League. That is supposedly at an embryonic stage.


Edited by colemanY2K - 26 Jan 2018 at 11:30am
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Trap junior Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 26 Jan 2018 at 11:35am
International football is for the birds at this stage. What a load of rubbish.

Qatar will be the worst world cup ever. Joke of a country.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Drumcondra 69er Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 26 Jan 2018 at 11:35am
Originally posted by colemanY2K colemanY2K wrote:

It has already been confirmed it will be used by the European Confederation for Qatar 2022.
 
 
Note this is different to what FIFA are considering which is a worldwide Nations League. That is supposedly at an embryonic stage.

Link?  I thought it was still being debated.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Drumcondra 69er Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 26 Jan 2018 at 11:39am
Originally posted by Stoked Up Stoked Up wrote:

Originally posted by Drumcondra 69er Drumcondra 69er wrote:

Originally posted by Trap junior Trap junior wrote:

What? What about world cup qualifying?? I thought htis was just for the Euros not the bleedin World Cup!?

Micjey fookin mouse!

Not confirmed how it'll link with World Cup qualifying yet. Talk that there'll be two spots out of the 13 available for 2022 going to the top two divisions. Other 11 will qualify through normal qualification groups.

If that's the outcome, the traditional route to playoffs will be gone and replaced with the Nations cup back door route. It will probably suit us for the expanded Euros but make it even harder for us to qualify for world cups. 
We'd have to win the mini group then defeat two of the other pot winners in one off games to win that pot playoff place.

No, only two spots are being discussed afaik. not sure how they'll work the other 11 spots though. There were 9 groups this time out with 9 winners and 4 play off qualifiers. There'd still be 2 spots unaccounted for. That's why I don't think it's agreed yet, can't find confirmation anywhere.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote t_rAndy Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 26 Jan 2018 at 12:42pm
Makes you sick now close we were to getting to a World Cup this time round! Doubt we get that close again for another while
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Claret Murph Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 26 Jan 2018 at 12:43pm
Originally posted by Trap junior Trap junior wrote:

International football is for the birds at this stage. What a load of rubbish.

Qatar will be the worst world cup ever. Joke of a country.
Look time to stop all this garbage in UEFA as we have something like 53 countries so we should let everyone in for the finals , play it in Germany every four years and everyone would be happy . Sure the Jocks would vote for it anyway LOL
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ConorMac77 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 26 Jan 2018 at 1:19pm
Originally posted by Claret Murph Claret Murph wrote:

Originally posted by Trap junior Trap junior wrote:

International football is for the birds at this stage. What a load of rubbish.

Qatar will be the worst world cup ever. Joke of a country.
Look time to stop all this garbage in UEFA as we have something like 53 countries so we should let everyone in for the finals , play it in Germany every four years and everyone would be happy . Sure the Jocks would vote for it anyway LOL
And they'd still find a way to screw up qualifying. LOL
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote colemanY2K Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 26 Jan 2018 at 1:51pm
Originally posted by Drumcondra 69er Drumcondra 69er wrote:

Originally posted by colemanY2K colemanY2K wrote:

It has already been confirmed it will be used by the European Confederation for Qatar 2022.  
Note this is different to what FIFA are considering which is a worldwide Nations League. That is supposedly at an embryonic stage.
Link?  I thought it was still being debated.
Took me awhile to find it amongst tons of info online about the current edition:
 
 


Edited by colemanY2K - 26 Jan 2018 at 2:02pm
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote cildaratown Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 26 Jan 2018 at 2:08pm
Originally posted by Stoked Up Stoked Up wrote:

Originally posted by Drumcondra 69er Drumcondra 69er wrote:

Originally posted by Trap junior Trap junior wrote:

What? What about world cup qualifying?? I thought htis was just for the Euros not the bleedin World Cup!?

Micjey fookin mouse!

Not confirmed how it'll link with World Cup qualifying yet. Talk that there'll be two spots out of the 13 available for 2022 going to the top two divisions. Other 11 will qualify through normal qualification groups.

If that's the outcome, the traditional route to playoffs will be gone and replaced with the Nations cup back door route. It will probably suit us for the expanded Euros but make it even harder for us to qualify for world cups. 
We'd have to win the mini group then defeat two of the other pot winners in one off games to win that pot playoff place.

And stay in the 2nd group, which will be hard with Wales and Denmark in the group
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote seanyshuffler Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 26 Jan 2018 at 2:12pm
Originally posted by Trap junior Trap junior wrote:

International football is for the birds at this stage. What a load of rubbish.

Qatar will be the worst world cup ever. Joke of a country.

Are you never not complaining about something LOL
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote deise316 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 26 Jan 2018 at 11:11pm
Originally posted by Drumcondra 69er Drumcondra 69er wrote:

Originally posted by deise316 deise316 wrote:

Anyway, seeing as so many here are convinced these test games are a positive, I started thinking a bit more about this much vaunted playoff (s) in March 2020 we keep hearing about. They are presented here like some sort of failsafe, should we not qualify through regular means (coming 1st or 2nd, or to give it a realistic meaning, coming 2nd) 

4 teams from league B that haven't already qualified will get through to them, maybe if all the A lads qualify, we might be joined by a league C team in the SF playoff. Lets assume we get to a playoff and lets assume the other playoff teams are league B teams as well, or among the higher league C lads. 

Over the course of 3 days, we would have to beat 2 teams ranked in or around us, some maybe slightly higher, some lower, maybe both slightly lower if things went in our favour. So I started trying to remember if this ever happened before, in that timeframe, that we beat 2 reasonably ranked teams consecutively in 3 days in competitive fixtures. Went back as far as 1990, just for the craic. 

We beat Latvia & Lithuania back to back (7 day gap) in June 1993. 
We beat Iceland & Lithuania back to back (4 day gap) in September 1997
We beat Cyprus & Andorra back to back  (4 day gap) in March 2001
We beat Albania & Georgia back to back (4 day gap) in March/April 2003
We beat Wales & Slovakia back to back (4 day gap) in March 2007
We beat Armenia & Andorra back to back (4 day gap) in September 2010
We beat same pair again in reverse legs in  (4 day gap) in October 2011
We beat Georgia & Moldova back to back in (3 day gap) in  October 2016
We beat Moldova & Wales back to back in (3 day gap) October 2017.


And that's yer lot. 

I'm going to make an observation that shouldn't startle anyone too much, aside from Wales & Slovakia in '07, and even that's arguable as to how good either those were back then, in near enough 30 years, we have never beaten 2 reasonably ranked nations back to back in consecutive games, in a 3 or 4 day period. You will notice that '07 aside, any 2 consecutive victories feature one team which you might charitably describe as one of the bottom 2 seeds, or canon fodder/rubbish. 

So now that we have this league, if all else fails with regular qualifying, in March 2020, we are going to take on say, Ukraine away and then Sweden at a neutral ground somewhere in Germany 3 days later, beat both of them and qualify ?? What's going to be the plan here, play for penalties ??  Replace Ukraine & Sweden with say, Scotland & Serbia if it makes you feel better, or will add weight to any counter argument. 


Before we even get into discussing our limitations, or MON's limitations, have a look at that record and try convince me that this playoff is some sort of failsafe, tis absolutely nothing of the sort, and our record, that didn't begin today nor yesterday,  suggests we are unlikely in the extreme to benefit from this extra pathway. 





We get it, Deise, you're not a fan. Yet you still took a good chunk of time to check what, unfortunately, are pointless stats to try and back up your negative feelings about this.

You're not comparing like with like. These play off games can't end up in draws, they'll go to extra time and pens if needs be. Given the amount of draws we've got over the years then you'd have to include back to back games where we've either won or drew to make a relevant comparison of games where we'd be in with a shout if they'd been in this sort of format. Even that's not like for like as a game that has to have a winner will pan out differently than a game where both sides can settle for a point. Sorry you wasted your time.

Also, the final play off isn't on a neutral ground, there's a draw for which of the teams will be at home.

Whether I like the tournament or not is irrelevant, tis going ahead anyway. 

My point was a response to all those who think this 2nd chance/playoffs are a good thing for us. After looking at old results, I don't see how anyone could come to that conclusion. 

The draw/win or win/draw was something I didn't look at, you are right there. Grand so. Went & had a look at consecutive games that we either won & then drew the game after, or drew & then won the game after, in the space of 3 or 4 days, going back to 1990. Only considered 2 X half decent outfits as the opposition. 

Guess what, there isn't any. 

For example, we drew with Portugal, then beat Estonia 4 days later in 2000, there are plenty of those type of back to back results. There are a few consecutive draws against decent nations as well, for example against Sweden away & Austria home in Traps last campaign. A lot of that was back in the old fixture meeting days where managers would usually do their best to avoid 2 good teams consecutively, but any time we have come up against that situation, we have usually lost one of the games, and maybe won or drawn the other one.

The playoff games can't end in draws, but our playoff record is pretty appalling too. Bosnia is the one and only example we have beaten a team ranked in or around us, and also the single example of us drawing, then winning a game in a short space of time V someone half decent going back to 1990. 

Your point about both teams having to go for it is very valid, but that is surely a negative from our point of view. What games have we ever 'gone for' in the typical sense of the phrase, in our entire history ?? Spain in the 02 WC, France in the Henry handball game, and Bosnia at home in '15 are the only ones I can really remember. With the tactical genius MON in charge, maybe we will sit back & try catch them on the break with our sheer speed & flowing football, Liverpool (on a good day) style. And repeat the trick 3 days later. 

All I'm saying is that if we end up in this situation, it is a bigger ask than what most people here are allowing for.  Time will tell, but going on a combination of history & where we find ourselves now, I wouldn't be optimistic these playoffs are a positive thing from our point of view. 












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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote SimonCox Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 27 Jan 2018 at 12:54pm
Originally posted by deise316 deise316 wrote:

Whether I like the tournament or not is irrelevant, tis going ahead anyway. 

My point was a response to all those who think this 2nd chance/playoffs are a good thing for us. After looking at old results, I don't see how anyone could come to that conclusion. 

The draw/win or win/draw was something I didn't look at, you are right there. Grand so. Went & had a look at consecutive games that we either won & then drew the game after, or drew & then won the game after, in the space of 3 or 4 days, going back to 1990. Only considered 2 X half decent outfits as the opposition. 

Guess what, there isn't any. 

For example, we drew with Portugal, then beat Estonia 4 days later in 2000, there are plenty of those type of back to back results. There are a few consecutive draws against decent nations as well, for example against Sweden away & Austria home in Traps last campaign. A lot of that was back in the old fixture meeting days where managers would usually do their best to avoid 2 good teams consecutively, but any time we have come up against that situation, we have usually lost one of the games, and maybe won or drawn the other one.

The playoff games can't end in draws, but our playoff record is pretty appalling too. Bosnia is the one and only example we have beaten a team ranked in or around us, and also the single example of us drawing, then winning a game in a short space of time V someone half decent going back to 1990. 

Your point about both teams having to go for it is very valid, but that is surely a negative from our point of view. What games have we ever 'gone for' in the typical sense of the phrase, in our entire history ?? Spain in the 02 WC, France in the Henry handball game, and Bosnia at home in '15 are the only ones I can really remember. With the tactical genius MON in charge, maybe we will sit back & try catch them on the break with our sheer speed & flowing football, Liverpool (on a good day) style. And repeat the trick 3 days later. 

All I'm saying is that if we end up in this situation, it is a bigger ask than what most people here are allowing for.  Time will tell, but going on a combination of history & where we find ourselves now, I wouldn't be optimistic these playoffs are a positive thing from our point of view. 














"Guess what, there isn't any. "

"Bosnia is the one and only example we have beaten a team ranked in or around us, and also the single example of us drawing, then winning a game in a short space of time V someone half decent going back to 1990. "


Is this poster serious?! LOL Contradicting himself much?

First of all he limits his research to win/win scenarios, then when pointed out to him that his research is pointless, he includes win/draw and draw/win scenarios - and arrives at different outcomes to this research as quoted above. 

He is completely misrepresenting the stats to work for his argument. He is still ignoring all the many draw/draw scenarios over the past 28 years, perhaps this poster doest think we can win two penalty shootouts in 4 days?

It's best to not pay any heed to the misleading "statistics" of this poster as they are not valid. He ignores eligible groups of results to enhance his argument and even then comes to two different outcomes to his research in the same post LOL
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Lenny82 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 27 Jan 2018 at 1:13pm
win two penalty shootouts in 4 days?[

Have I completely missed this? No draws in the Nation's League, winner decided via penalty shootout?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Charlton's Child Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 27 Jan 2018 at 1:15pm
Originally posted by Lenny82 Lenny82 wrote:

win two penalty shootouts in 4 days?[

Have I completely missed this? No draws in the Nation's League, winner decided via penalty shootout?


What ?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote pre Madonna Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 27 Jan 2018 at 1:19pm
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Lenny82 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 27 Jan 2018 at 1:27pm


Jaysus, can't believe I missed (or forgot) this!
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote deise316 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 27 Jan 2018 at 1:51pm
Originally posted by SimonCox SimonCox wrote:



Is this poster serious?! LOL Contradicting himself much?

First of all he limits his research to win/win scenarios, then when pointed out to him that his research is pointless, he includes win/draw and draw/win scenarios - and arrives at different outcomes to this research as quoted above. 

He is completely misrepresenting the stats to work for his argument. He is still ignoring all the many draw/draw scenarios over the past 28 years, perhaps this poster doest think we can win two penalty shootouts in 4 days?

It's best to not pay any heed to the misleading "statistics" of this poster as they are not valid. He ignores eligible groups of results to enhance his argument and even then comes to two different outcomes to his research in the same post LOL

 

My one and only point here is that we would find a playoff scenario where we play 2 separate teams ranked in or around us, in the space of 3 days, very difficult to overcome. Bosnia was the one example of us doing that in 28 years, but Bosnia are just the one team, not 2 separate ones. 

My ''research'' involved glancing at historical results for less that 10 minutes, it isn't a fcukin thesis or anything. D69 correctly pointed out I hadn't taken into account win/draws, or draw/wins, but having had a look, there aren't any, not against 2 reasonably decent teams, ie the 1st to 3rd seeds, in any group we have been in since 1990.  Now, we are down to consecutive draws, and there aren't many of those either, most are from the Trap era.  If holding out for consecutive draws and winning on pens is the best we can hope for in a playoff situation, it still doesn't look great. 

What's you're own opinion of the NL playoffs, and our chances in it so (should we end up in them) ? We win the 2 games, no bother, easy enough ? If that is your opinion, fair enough, but I'd like to see what tis based on, other than sheer optimism. Don't get me wrong, we could get lucky with the draw, get a weakish league C team in an SF and then make a final, but I genuinely don't see the reason for all this confidence that the playoffs are a handy enough 2nd route to the Euros. 






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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dalymount79 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 27 Jan 2018 at 1:53pm
Very valid points Deise - a counter positive for me is if we end up in the playoffs we're likely to be playing teams equally poor in getting back to back results in the upcoming 18 months.
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