Tips for today |
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Jack Charlton The F The F The FAI Joined: 30 Jun 2009 Location: Abbottstown Status: Offline Points: 9155 |
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BrendanD88
Jack Charlton 99% of my posts are emojis Joined: 29 Mar 2013 Location: Co Down Status: Offline Points: 9994 |
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Good man fingers 2/2 today. |
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9fingers
Paul McGrath Ballymun Resident #MONKEANO Joined: 30 Jan 2010 Status: Online Points: 16141 |
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A good day
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DUBLIN DOC
Jack Charlton The F The F The FAI Joined: 30 Jun 2009 Location: Abbottstown Status: Offline Points: 9155 |
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Not a tip lads, but Noel Meade has one going in the bumper on his local track with Nina up and is a bit of a decent price at e.w for an interest, but only 7 runners so only the 2 places
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Richmond Ultra
500 Club la la la Joined: 16 Oct 2012 Location: Cork Status: Offline Points: 574 |
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The Ballyboy 4.40 Thurles. 11/4. I've heard word from the track that they are expecting a win.
1 point win. 0 return/ 3 stake |
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Omnia Causa Fiunt
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Roberto Baggio
Robbie Keane UNBELIEVABLE JEFF Joined: 28 Jan 2010 Status: Online Points: 37310 |
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How do you work out the book % in a race, and what should it be from bookmakers?
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Dino Baggio
500 Club la la la Joined: 14 Apr 2010 Status: Offline Points: 740 |
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Be good at Maths or just use something like below
http://www.horseracing-and-bettingsystems.com/betting-odds-percentage-table.html
just add up the percentages and you'll get your overround, whatever amount it is above 100% is the margin built in, say for example a bookies 100% price is 3/1, they'll offer the customer 11/4 depending on how much margin they accounted for, generally about 2% per runner, but really depends on how competitive a bookie wants to b |
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Dino Baggio
500 Club la la la Joined: 14 Apr 2010 Status: Offline Points: 740 |
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using the 15:20 as an example:
11/8 -> 42.1% 2/1 -> 33.3% 11/2 -> 15.4% 9/1 -> 10% 12/1 -> 7.7% 28/1 -> 3.45% So the totally overound of the race is 111.95%, the margin being 11.95%
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Richmond Ultra
500 Club la la la Joined: 16 Oct 2012 Location: Cork Status: Offline Points: 574 |
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Poor jumping.:( |
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Omnia Causa Fiunt
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Neil Armstrong
Jack Charlton Cyavan Cyunt Joined: 17 Jun 2010 Location: Ireland Status: Offline Points: 5003 |
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[QUOTE=irish_major] Going for one at a big price this evening in the last race in wolverhampton.
Arlecchino's leap at 16/1 with boyles and pp. Think he's about 6 points too big. He's been dropped 18 pounds for 7 runs in a reasonably short space of time. A gamble went astray on him 2 runs ago over course and distance where he was sent off 4/1 favourite and didn't run a bad race coming from well off the pace to finish nicely. If he can be handy enough he has to have a good chance off a near career low mark, he's only a 6 year old so should be well capable of getting back to a mark in the 80s at some point. He's ran in wolverhampton 8 times, winning 3 and coming 2nd twice. I think he's too big to ignore, ladbrokes paying 4 places but they're only 12/1. I'm going to put 2 points win and 1 point place at 16/1. 11 points staked 27.2 returned [/QUOTEBump won the last at Chelmsford 8/1 tonight Hugh Taylor tipped it up as well. |
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Ulster Champions 2020 our 40th Title. Take that all ye Moanaghan ***ts!
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DUBLIN DOC
Jack Charlton The F The F The FAI Joined: 30 Jun 2009 Location: Abbottstown Status: Offline Points: 9155 |
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Polly’s pursuit 3.40 Exeter tomorrow
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irish_major
Ray Houghton Bookie Slayer Joined: 20 Jan 2009 Location: Ireland Status: Offline Points: 3927 |
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On holibobs and just saw my tracker email and the result. Very annoying. |
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Here we go again
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eboue16
Davey Langan Joined: 13 Nov 2014 Location: Mayo Status: Offline Points: 873 |
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Is this strictly tips for ponies?
Not going to make anyone rich but a bit of value in Italy to score O1.5 tries Evens Edited by eboue16 - 23 Feb 2018 at 7:01pm |
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"He f**ked me over and my attitude is an eye for an eye."
Roy Keane Talking about Alf Inge Haaland tackle |
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9fingers
Paul McGrath Ballymun Resident #MONKEANO Joined: 30 Jan 2010 Status: Online Points: 16141 |
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Good value would be amazed if it didn’t pay out |
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Jack Charlton The F The F The FAI Joined: 30 Jun 2009 Location: Abbottstown Status: Offline Points: 9155 |
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irish_major
Ray Houghton Bookie Slayer Joined: 20 Jan 2009 Location: Ireland Status: Offline Points: 3927 |
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War room placed that night but there was a small rule 4. Put's the pot at 68.2 points. I have been on holidays since but hopefully we can get things back up and running. I have one for today. Karim Albaari runs in the 2.00 in lingfield. The old boy put up a great performance two runs back to beat presence process by a smooth two lengths. Presence process has won twice in the mean time and Karim Albaari meets him on a pound better terms today than when he beat him two runs back! He ran twice in the mean time and came an unlucky third and after breaking very slowly last time he came 12th but was only beaten 5 lengths. Now the probem with today is that he's running over a trip shorter than ideal. His last win was over 10f he runs over a mile today. However if he can break smartly then he can still hopefully come flying with a run at the end. At 33/1, I can't ignore him as for the negatives there are glaringly obvious positives which means he could run well. If it was over a longer trip today I would seriously fancy him, but as I said I'll take a chance at the prices. 1 point each way Karim Albaari 2.00 lingfield. 33/1 pp. 4 places 43 points staked 68.2 returned.
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Here we go again
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Richmond Ultra
500 Club la la la Joined: 16 Oct 2012 Location: Cork Status: Offline Points: 574 |
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Roses in the rain 3.50 Thurles e/w. Most firms doing extra place offer. Word is that it will go close. I said I'd pass it on.
1 point at 11/2 Stake 4 points/return 0 points. |
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Omnia Causa Fiunt
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Green Devil
Robbie Keane Aye Kes, I've pissed me-self again Joined: 06 Oct 2010 Location: Barbados Status: Offline Points: 22173 |
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Great to see Ruby is back
A bit of money coming for his mount Lareena at Thurles in the 3:15. Very hard to choose between Lareena and Awayinthewest
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"He drives two Ferraris; I think he's a very lucky lad to have 50 caps for Ireland,"
Eamonn Dunphy on Glenn Whelan |
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