The Irish economy |
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Bob Hoskins
Moderator Group Joined: 29 Jul 2007 Status: Offline Points: 20175 |
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Romario 2016: And the ticket mafia gets caught! Well, four years ago I had already told the government.
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Butch
Ray Houghton Joined: 16 Oct 2014 Status: Offline Points: 3358 |
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Id say we are heading for the peak in the next 12 months and then a period of static before she tumbles again . Talking to different people in different areas from B2B to retail and a lot are struggling with higher wages , rents , taxes . Hell of a lot of money being borrowed again for houses but even cars . Had a meeting with someone the other day from the energy sector and had expected him to arrive in a van but he arrived in a 181 Merc . No more than 40 y/o and spinnig around in a merc. Signs of previous dangerous decsions starting to pop up more frequently
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MC Hammered
Jack Charlton Joined: 05 Oct 2011 Status: Offline Points: 6870 |
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I'm not necessarily disagreeing with you Butchy but why would a 40 year old driving a Merc surprise you?If you don't know his background outside of working in the energy sector then I'm not sure if this is the best bell weather of a nations economic health.
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El Puto Amo
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lassassinblanc
Paul McGrath Cheese, it’s not just for eating Joined: 27 Sep 2010 Location: Clairefontaine Status: Offline Points: 16468 |
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Random Man drives nice car the booms back
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colemanY2K
Roy Keane Fresh minty breath Joined: 01 Mar 2010 Location: London Status: Offline Points: 14959 |
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Wouldn't disagree Butch. The only thing up in the air is the timing. |
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"One of the dominant facts in English life during the past three quarters of a century has been the decay of ability in the ruling class." Orwell, 1942.
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AnCearrbhach
Liam Brady Joined: 26 Mar 2012 Location: Turners Cross Status: Offline Points: 2045 |
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McWilliams is a bit like Sybil Trelawney, he managed to predict 9 of the last 1 recessions.
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Aithníonn ciaróg ciaróg eile.
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Butch
Ray Houghton Joined: 16 Oct 2014 Status: Offline Points: 3358 |
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I wont go into too much detail of his position but he borrowed heavily for it . This is where all the trouble began the last time . People thinking they have more money than they have and spending well beyond their means
Edited by Butch - 09 May 2018 at 2:50pm |
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MC Hammered
Jack Charlton Joined: 05 Oct 2011 Status: Offline Points: 6870 |
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Fair enough. People being able to borrow well beyond their means is not a good sign alright
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El Puto Amo
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Bob Hoskins
Moderator Group Joined: 29 Jul 2007 Status: Offline Points: 20175 |
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The banks are not lending recklessly to buy gaffs
Our economy is tied heavily into the global economy, when that sh*ts the knickers we follow through I'd say Brexit is far more likely to be our next downturn, and even with that I doubt it would be anything like the last disatser of a recession
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Romario 2016: And the ticket mafia gets caught! Well, four years ago I had already told the government.
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Butch
Ray Houghton Joined: 16 Oct 2014 Status: Offline Points: 3358 |
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But are the banks set to increase interest rates soon ? That will put a strain on ypung families who have only got onto the property ladder . Some of my mates have recently bought houses and had kids and are finding it tough . Childcare prices are scary . Brexit will certainly have its problems for us and I have seen it in some situations where Marks and Spencers will only take product X for their southern stores and wont use the same supplier for the uk shops
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Shedite
Jack Charlton Joined: 09 Dec 2011 Status: Offline Points: 9820 |
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Butch
Ray Houghton Joined: 16 Oct 2014 Status: Offline Points: 3358 |
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That would give you more reason for concern that rates have been stagnant for 7 years
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Shedite
Jack Charlton Joined: 09 Dec 2011 Status: Offline Points: 9820 |
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Banks have far too much money these days, they're dying to lend, no use to them to have money sitting in savings accounts if they can't use it. If they raise interest rates, they'll lose customers.
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t_rAndy
Robbie Keane Joined: 06 Feb 2008 Location: Ireland Status: Offline Points: 26237 |
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Roll on another recession. Had to get me house valued there last month and taking out the work I put into me house I bought in 2013 and its valued at 61% more than I paid.
Position myself to buy a second home to upgrade to in the next crash and then rent out the 1st house is something I have one eye on. Only thing that affected me in the last recession was one year I didn't get a pay rise.
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Butch
Ray Houghton Joined: 16 Oct 2014 Status: Offline Points: 3358 |
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Last recession didnt effect me too much . I dont think we will ever see houses as cheap as they were back a couple of years ago . I advised a couple on buying a house at the time for 299k in the recession . Both good jobs and approved for 450k mortgage . They said they would wait and went for a different property . They paid near 300k for the the house they are in now . The other house recently sold for 550k that they didnt go for . Their own house now is worth 375k . If they had of went with what I had advised them they would have 125k lwft to pay off
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FrankosHereNow
Roy Keane I like Klopp Joined: 02 Jun 2011 Location: El Sadar Status: Offline Points: 12165 |
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YBIG Quiz Champion 2016, 2017 & 2018.
As You Were Three in a row |
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Butch
Ray Houghton Joined: 16 Oct 2014 Status: Offline Points: 3358 |
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After I met him i had another meeting with a contractor and he asked did you meet Simon (merc) I said i did and i said that is some car ... his reply was yea f**k borrowing a heap of money to spin around in a nice car
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Lenny82
Liam Brady Joined: 20 Aug 2010 Location: Ireland Status: Offline Points: 2914 |
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Definitely seeing elements of the boom creeping back in with some of my mates. The bank lending restrictions on mortgages has been fantastic, but a lot of new flash cars floating about with big loans behind them.
I don't believe we'll see a recession of the same levels of the previous one, but all it takes is for a few companies to pull out of Dublin or downsize in a short period of time, i.e. 750 jobs in Eircom, BOI and Ulster Bank closing huge proportion of their banks, etc. and we could start to see some carnage. Taking Eircom as the example, that's potentially 750 families impacted. It's also a hell of a lot less people buying coffee, lunch, cigarettes, around the local cafes and shops which has a further effect.
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