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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Clonbhoy Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Aug 2012 at 12:32pm
Originally posted by AntrimMan AntrimMan wrote:

Originally posted by AntrimMan AntrimMan wrote:

As i can't really be bothered looking, anyone able to explain in laymans terms what would happen to Scotlands oil and gas resources in the event of independance?

I'd see that as the key factor

 
Its answered below but was wondering if there were any other complaictions to this i.e, oil and gas fields being already sold off to the likes of BP, exploration rights already sold or something like that.
 
I don't have a scooby about that whole thing but imagine Westminster wouldn't be keen on letting that revenue stream go easily.
It would be up to the new government in Embra to decide, hence the panic!!
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Hoosay Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Aug 2012 at 12:32pm

As things stand now, I don't think this would pass, but they have 2 years to make their arguments, and in 2 years time a lot will have changed politically and economically.

I reckon it will be a long and complicated debate, and it could get pretty dirty.
 
It will also be interesting to see what would happen to NI if the Scots did get independence. Effectively the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland would no longer exist.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote corkery Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Aug 2012 at 12:33pm
I worked in the Summer for the Scottish Parliament. They are going to vote no, the only support is up North. The majority of people live around the Clyde, that's Labour country. If Scotland were to go on their own, they'd lose the super power, the UN seat, the G20 etc. They may not get the oil as it's a crown estate and may go to the British. However Scotland will have by 2020 nearly all it's energy from wind.

The reason the SNP are in power is not because of the will to have an independent state but because they are a populist party, no road tolls, no water charges, council tax freezes etc. They have no plans either to become a republic, they want to become a free state with the Queen and become members of what they call a 'Sterlinzone.'

I think the UK needs to become a federal state, however there is little desire to become independent. If they were to vote yes, it's not that it's going to become a socalist country, only a few years back the country had a pile of Tory voters. They'll be stuck with a fair share of British debt too, thousands in the military will lose their jobs.

The thing that scares people in Scotland the most is Ireland, they just look at our history, the millions who left, the poverty in the 30s and the current mess.

Must say aswell that when the Olympics and and the Queen's stuff was on, there were Union Flags everywhere, out people's windows, on the streets etc.


Edited by corkery - 22 Aug 2012 at 12:55pm
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Hoosay Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Aug 2012 at 12:55pm
Originally posted by corkery corkery wrote:

I worked in the Summer for the Scottish Parliament. They are going to vote no, the only support is up North. The majority of people live around the Clyde, that's Labour country. If Scotland were to go on their own, they'd lose the super power, the UN seat, the G20 etc. They may not get the oil as it's a crown estate and may go to the British. However Scotland will have by 2020 nearly all it's energy from wind.

The reason the SNP are in power is not because of the will to have an independent state but because they are a populist party, no road tolls, no water charges, council tax freezes etc. They have no plans either to become a republic, they want to become a free state with the Queen and become members of what they call a 'Sterlinzone.'

I think the UK needs to become a federal state, however there is little desire to become independent. If they were to vote yes, it's not that it's going to become a socalist country, only a few years back the country had a pile of Tory voters. They'll be stuck with a fair share of British debt too, thousands in the military will lose their jobs.
They'd be a separate EU state though, so they'd have a lot more influence their than they do currently.
The oil fields may be a "crown estate" but after independence they'd become a "crown estate" of the Scottish monarch, not the British monarch. The Queen is the Queen of Canada too, crown property in Canada is not controlled by the British government, it's controlled by the Canadian government.
The Tories have not got more than 30% of the vote in Scotland since the 1970s and I don't think they've got more than 20% since 1992. I don't think it would become a socialist state by any means, but Scotland hasn't had a pile of Tory voters for decades.
There's no reason why Scotland's share of the debt would cause any more problems than it does now, they'd have to pay their debts themselves rather than have the UK government do it, that's the only difference. Of course the debt would have to be allocated fairly, which would require negotiation, but the fact is Scotland currently contributes more to the UK exchequer than it receives, so there is no reason why they couldn't make their debt payments. Also no reason why Scots couldn't continue to serve in the UK/English/Whatever they're called military after independence.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote RogerMilla Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Aug 2012 at 12:58pm
Originally posted by Hoosay Hoosay wrote:

 
They'd be a separate EU state though, so they'd have a lot more influence their than they do currently.
 
they'd have about as much influence as we have , i.e. none.
 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Clonbhoy Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Aug 2012 at 1:08pm
Originally posted by Hoosay Hoosay wrote:

Originally posted by corkery corkery wrote:

I worked in the Summer for the Scottish Parliament. They are going to vote no, the only support is up North. The majority of people live around the Clyde, that's Labour country. If Scotland were to go on their own, they'd lose the super power, the UN seat, the G20 etc. They may not get the oil as it's a crown estate and may go to the British. However Scotland will have by 2020 nearly all it's energy from wind.

The reason the SNP are in power is not because of the will to have an independent state but because they are a populist party, no road tolls, no water charges, council tax freezes etc. They have no plans either to become a republic, they want to become a free state with the Queen and become members of what they call a 'Sterlinzone.'

I think the UK needs to become a federal state, however there is little desire to become independent. If they were to vote yes, it's not that it's going to become a socalist country, only a few years back the country had a pile of Tory voters. They'll be stuck with a fair share of British debt too, thousands in the military will lose their jobs.
They'd be a separate EU state though, so they'd have a lot more influence their than they do currently.
The oil fields may be a "crown estate" but after independence they'd become a "crown estate" of the Scottish monarch, not the British monarch. The Queen is the Queen of Canada too, crown property in Canada is not controlled by the British government, it's controlled by the Canadian government.
The Tories have not got more than 30% of the vote in Scotland since the 1970s and I don't think they've got more than 20% since 1992. I don't think it would become a socialist state by any means, but Scotland hasn't had a pile of Tory voters for decades.
There's no reason why Scotland's share of the debt would cause any more problems than it does now, they'd have to pay their debts themselves rather than have the UK government do it, that's the only difference. Of course the debt would have to be allocated fairly, which would require negotiation, but the fact is Scotland currently contributes more to the UK exchequer than it receives, so there is no reason why they couldn't make their debt payments. Also no reason why Scots couldn't continue to serve in the UK/English/Whatever they're called military after independence.
The rough figure bandied about regarding debts is 8.6%, a proportion based on population. Absolutely correct regarding the British Army, the Brits are very egalitarian when it comes to who gets killed for or by them!Scotlands defence spend is approximately 3.5 million to the UK. Less than 2 billion is spent in Scotland and as an independent nation would need to be even less
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote da scientist Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Aug 2012 at 1:09pm
will they claim rockall Big smile
 
i actually agree with eammon gilmores love child on this
The main thing is not to panic
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote RogerMilla Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Aug 2012 at 1:10pm
Originally posted by da scientist da scientist wrote:

will they claim rockall Big smile
  
 
 
itll never fall into scotlands greedy hands LOL
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote irishmufc Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Aug 2012 at 1:28pm
@clonbhoy
Im not saying what they should or shouldnt do.its of no relevence to me but if i was scottish id think hard about independence if it weakens their position in europe. ive said it before but i have to give the british credit for keeping londons status as a financial centre without interference from Brussels. They ll question europe alot more than we will and can actually think for themselves unlike our government that acts like germanys lapdog. id be wary of independence in that sense tbh. look how long we were in the doldrums after independence. i doubt the scots would want to go there. you need to look at things without the nationalistic aspect that but thats just my opinion. it doesnt mean im right

Edited by irishmufc - 22 Aug 2012 at 1:29pm
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Baldrick Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Aug 2012 at 1:40pm
Originally posted by Hoosay Hoosay wrote:

Originally posted by corkery corkery wrote:

I worked in the Summer for the Scottish Parliament. They are going to vote no, the only support is up North. The majority of people live around the Clyde, that's Labour country. If Scotland were to go on their own, they'd lose the super power, the UN seat, the G20 etc. They may not get the oil as it's a crown estate and may go to the British. However Scotland will have by 2020 nearly all it's energy from wind.

The reason the SNP are in power is not because of the will to have an independent state but because they are a populist party, no road tolls, no water charges, council tax freezes etc. They have no plans either to become a republic, they want to become a free state with the Queen and become members of what they call a 'Sterlinzone.'

I think the UK needs to become a federal state, however there is little desire to become independent. If they were to vote yes, it's not that it's going to become a socalist country, only a few years back the country had a pile of Tory voters. They'll be stuck with a fair share of British debt too, thousands in the military will lose their jobs.
They'd be a separate EU state though, so they'd have a lot more influence their than they do currently.
The oil fields may be a "crown estate" but after independence they'd become a "crown estate" of the Scottish monarch, not the British monarch. The Queen is the Queen of Canada too, crown property in Canada is not controlled by the British government, it's controlled by the Canadian government.
The Tories have not got more than 30% of the vote in Scotland since the 1970s and I don't think they've got more than 20% since 1992. I don't think it would become a socialist state by any means, but Scotland hasn't had a pile of Tory voters for decades.
There's no reason why Scotland's share of the debt would cause any more problems than it does now, they'd have to pay their debts themselves rather than have the UK government do it, that's the only difference. Of course the debt would have to be allocated fairly, which would require negotiation, but the fact is Scotland currently contributes more to the UK exchequer than it receives, so there is no reason why they couldn't make their debt payments. Also no reason why Scots couldn't continue to serve in the UK/English/Whatever they're called military after independence.
Now now dont be bringing facts into the debate.  It wont be allowed. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Rostrevor Fan Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Aug 2012 at 1:43pm
Originally posted by RogerMilla RogerMilla wrote:

Originally posted by da scientist da scientist wrote:

will they claim rockall Big smile
  
 
 
itll never fall into scotlands greedy hands LOL
 
And the natural gas will burn their ass and blow them all to hell Angry
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote corkery Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Aug 2012 at 1:45pm
If they was a real want for independence they would of filled Westminster with the SNP like we did in 1918. People would rather they fixed the economy. The referendum is at the right time though, people get to see what the country is like in an economic downturn.

However, it is a referendum that must be done to solve the Nationalist question once and for all. Scotland will then move onto a devo max or max devo (Two different things) referendum. One of these would give Scotland the power to have it's own vat and corpo rates.

It'll be interesting to see what happens when Labour get back into power though, themselves and the Scottish Tories are secretly backing this.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote the_walls Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Aug 2012 at 2:03pm
Originally posted by irishmufc irishmufc wrote:

@clonbhoy
Im not saying what they should or shouldnt do.its of no relevence to me but if i was scottish id think hard about independence if it weakens their position in europe. ive said it before but i have to give the british credit for keeping londons status as a financial centre without interference from Brussels. They ll question europe alot more than we will and can actually think for themselves unlike our government that acts like germanys lapdog. id be wary of independence in that sense tbh. look how long we were in the doldrums after independence. i doubt the scots would want to go there. you need to look at things without the nationalistic aspect that but thats just my opinion. it doesnt mean im right




Quite right we were in the doldrums for a long time after independence. Some of that was down to poor choices by Dev and the madness of a economic war with a superpower of the time and our largest trading partner. However we were still far, far better off than we ever were within the Union. We had no developed industry to speak of at independence because we werent allowed to. We were just used as a breadbasket for Britain. And I stress for Britain, we werent even allowed us our own food to feed ourselves. As bad as things might have got in the 30s, 40s and 50s we never had people dropping dead from hunger in the streets by the thousands. The national humilation of partition copperfastend our lack of industry as we lost the only real bit of industrial output we had in the northeast. Partition would have also had a huge effect on econimies on border counties and does to this very day. The Irish econonmy went through hundreds of years of retardation, its people through hundreds of years of humiliation. Its a wonder we are able to function as modern state at all. I think (depspite our current economic situation) we have done remarkably well considering from were starting from in the 20s. Scotland, by and large, will not have any of these problems. If the people of Scotland want to look at the 30s, 40s and 50s in Ireland and use that as a reason not to vote for independence then that is extremely shortsighted of them and would have no bearing whatsoever on how an independent Scotland would fare.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote irishmufc Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Aug 2012 at 3:03pm
@the walls
I agree with ya that it wouldnt be as bad but the comparison im making with ireland is that their say and positon is weakened in europe. Britain who are still a major power in the EU. this would suggest to me that it wouldnt make sense breaking away from this. I know britain isnt the force it was but its still a big economy with a huge population for its landmass and i wouldnt think it would be advisable to break away completely given the sway france and germany hold
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Clonbhoy Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Aug 2012 at 3:05pm
Originally posted by irishmufc irishmufc wrote:

@the walls
I agree with ya that it wouldnt be as bad but the comparison im making with ireland is that their say and positon is weakened in europe. Britain who are still a major power in the EU. this would suggest to me that it wouldnt make sense breaking away from this. I know britain isnt the force it was but its still a big economy with a huge population for its landmass and i wouldnt think it would be advisable to break away completely given the sway france and germany hold
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Baldrick Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Aug 2012 at 3:13pm
Originally posted by irishmufc irishmufc wrote:

@the walls
I agree with ya that it wouldnt be as bad but the comparison im making with ireland is that their say and positon is weakened in europe. Britain who are still a major power in the EU. this would suggest to me that it wouldnt make sense breaking away from this. I know britain isnt the force it was but its still a big economy with a huge population for its landmass and i wouldnt think it would be advisable to break away completely given the sway france and germany hold
 
 
The UK may have a big say in Europe (I dont totally agree with that by the way)  but Scotland has basically no say in the running of the UK, so whats the point in being part of something that has a say if you do not have a say in the thing you are a part of. 
 
How many Scotish Mps are in the Tory/Liberal government. 
 
Scotland was led by Thatcher for years despite barely returning any Tory Mps. 
 
 
The Torys want the oil and Labour are fearful of having Tory rule if they lost all the Scottish Labour seats at Westminister.  
 
 


Edited by Baldrick - 22 Aug 2012 at 3:14pm
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote jackshat Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Aug 2012 at 3:25pm
I'm not expert but would this not be financial suicide for Scotland?  
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Clonbhoy Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Aug 2012 at 3:26pm
Originally posted by jackshat jackshat wrote:

I'm not expert but would this not be financial suicide for Scotland?  
very much the opposite
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