Nvidic's overpriced bets
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Topic: Nvidic's overpriced bets
Posted By: nvidic
Subject: Nvidic's overpriced bets
Date Posted: 05 Oct 2011 at 4:16pm
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I always keep an eye out for bets I think are overpriced, they are not tips, just prices that i think should be lower than they are This week; Ireland - Armenia draw @ 7/2, bwin, personally would have 5/2 Armenia (H v macedonia)- 8/11, broadly available, personally would have 4/7 Ireland - Andorra under 2.5 goals, 13/8, broadly available, based on recent performances it seems quite high Simon Cox last goalscorer @ 9/2, will hill, boyles, at least a point too big, bets refunded if he doesnt make it onto the pitch Underpriced; Russia to beat Slovakia @ 7/5, odds should be 6/4 based on the fact slovakia and draw double chance is 1/2 |
Replies:
Posted By: RogerMilla
Date Posted: 05 Oct 2011 at 4:49pm
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Good man nvidic , it's good when a fella is checking the market, Personally think the cox bet is value and will pile in there , I know Russia better than evens but away from home only needed draw even though I see the value I wouldn't bet it ------------- The first time the Devil made me do it. The second time I did it on my own. |
Posted By: nvidic
Date Posted: 06 Oct 2011 at 1:28am
| Russia is a poor price i meant! Should be 6/4 and the bookies know it, being cheeky with their 7/5! |
Posted By: nvidic
Date Posted: 09 Oct 2011 at 2:04am
| Two overpriced wins and one refund, hope people were aboard, only backef cox myself |
Posted By: MayoMark
Date Posted: 09 Oct 2011 at 7:56pm
Some great shouts vidic  ------------- They finally did it man... They killed my f**kin' car... |
Posted By: Bob Hoskins
Date Posted: 10 Oct 2011 at 9:35am
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Never got to the bookies, but that under 2.5 goals one was a good tip. I would have backed Ireland to win 2-0 as well. Hate when that happens
------------- Romario 2016: And the ticket mafia gets caught! Well, four years ago I had already told the government. |
Posted By: The Boy Z
Date Posted: 10 Oct 2011 at 10:26am
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Ireland 4/6 vs Armenia?? ------------- Theres only one sport that matters.. |
Posted By: MayoMark
Date Posted: 10 Oct 2011 at 10:40am
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Armenia to win @4/1 is f**king insane money. If I wasn't Irish I'd be all over that ------------- They finally did it man... They killed my f**kin' car... |
Posted By: MayoMark
Date Posted: 10 Oct 2011 at 10:44am
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Draw/Armenia 17/2... ------------- They finally did it man... They killed my f**kin' car... |
Posted By: Stoked Up
Date Posted: 10 Oct 2011 at 11:49am
Bookies love people like you. We are favourites for valid reasons. 1. we are at home, where we generally beat teams seeded below us 2. we've already beaten them. 3. we have (on paper, i.e. playing their club football at a higher standard) better players 4. we haven't let a goal in for 8 games. 5. we are ranked much higher than them. 6. we are ahead of them in the group |
MayoMark wrote:Posted By: MayoMark
Date Posted: 10 Oct 2011 at 12:00pm
Only for they were slow starters they would be right up there. They tore Macedonia to shreds the last day, they battered Slovakia (home AND away) and should have done the Rooskies. These guys are a better football team than we are, based on performances ------------- They finally did it man... They killed my f**kin' car... |
Posted By: Stoked Up
Date Posted: 10 Oct 2011 at 12:55pm
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No, they're not significantly better than us. Remember, we also beat Macedonia home and away and deservedly so. As well as losing at home to us, they also lost in Moscow. And but for their bizarre result against Slovakia, their away form is not so good. If I were a bookie, these are the sort of odds I'd be quoting. |
Posted By: MayoMark
Date Posted: 10 Oct 2011 at 12:57pm
I never said that in fairness. And our home form isn't exactly brilliant either. 6 of one half a dozen of the other in my opinion. ------------- They finally did it man... They killed my f**kin' car... |
Posted By: nvidic
Date Posted: 10 Oct 2011 at 1:12pm
| personally think we're a bit short @ 4/7 and armenia long at 9/2 considering their form, i like the look of both teams to score @evens, will have a proper look later to see if there's much overpriced |
Posted By: nvidic
Date Posted: 10 Oct 2011 at 1:28pm
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Last weeks overpriced 7/2 draw is now a 5/2 rightly priced draw! This week; France v BOSNIA draw no bet @ 4's, bosnia dont travel well but they have a lot to play for and are a good team, 4's seems too big The insurebet goalscorer market has good value with doyle @ 7/2 and cox @ 4's amongst others Kazakhstan V AUSTRIA 8/11, VC, Will Hill nothing else really jumps out.. if anyone sees anything post it down |
Posted By: Green Devil
Date Posted: 10 Oct 2011 at 1:30pm
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Israel are 1/2 away to Malta tomorrow night , if you can put in another decent price team to make it a double with Israel get on it....
------------- "He drives two Ferraris; I think he's a very lucky lad to have 50 caps for Ireland," Eamonn Dunphy on Glenn Whelan |
Posted By: PhilliyK
Date Posted: 10 Oct 2011 at 2:56pm
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Lithunia are 5/1 at home to the Czech's.
Looking at their results for the past 2 years they are hit or miss as they beat the Czech's in Olomouc but lost to Leichenstein 2-0 in June this year then beat Armenia 3-0 in an august friendly. The czech's have the added pressure of having to win the game and could be caught on the counter attack as I think Lithunia have some pretty quick forwards so they could be a bit of value if anyone wants to risk them
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Posted By: MintBerryCrunch
Date Posted: 10 Oct 2011 at 3:11pm
Its been the top football bet today at Paddy Power, could never bet against Ireland.
 |
Posted By: Bob Hoskins
Date Posted: 10 Oct 2011 at 3:31pm
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I'm gonna back Ireland to draw our next three games, the draw with Armenia is 5/2 and I'm guessing that it will say be 9/4 for the other games in the play offs, this works out at 36/1 Now if we can just jam our way in via the away goals rule  ------------- Romario 2016: And the ticket mafia gets caught! Well, four years ago I had already told the government. |
Posted By: The Boy Z
Date Posted: 10 Oct 2011 at 5:11pm
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We are better than Armenia. ------------- Theres only one sport that matters.. |
Posted By: Stoked Up
Date Posted: 11 Oct 2011 at 7:16am
Wouldn't touch it. Lithuania have nothing to play for, other than pride. The Czech Republic are playing for a place in the playoffs as it's most unlikely that Scotland will win in Spain. Also, a draw might likely be enough (should word come through that Scotland are losing) as Czech hold a greater head to head with Scotland. Scotland might grab a famous draw and leave the Czechs needing a win. It all amounts to far too many other variables for me to touch this bet. |
Posted By: MayoMark
Date Posted: 12 Oct 2011 at 11:22am
Player for player, yes. But Armenia are a very good football team, and it won't be long until they do qualify. They are more ruthless than we are/were in the latter parts of this camaign in my opinion. Last night would have been a lot different if the ref hadn't f**ked up. But that's neither here nor there. ------------- They finally did it man... They killed my f**kin' car... |
Posted By: MayoMark
Date Posted: 12 Oct 2011 at 11:22am
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Ireland 100/1 to win the euros ------------- They finally did it man... They killed my f**kin' car... |
Posted By: nvidic
Date Posted: 12 Oct 2011 at 11:58am
| Some interesting bets up at the min, ireland to draw estonia and qualify at 4's, turkey at 7s |
Posted By: MayoMark
Date Posted: 12 Oct 2011 at 1:01pm
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Ireland to draw Estonia is 1 in four anyways ffs! What a sh*t price! ------------- They finally did it man... They killed my f**kin' car... |
Posted By: nvidic
Date Posted: 18 Oct 2011 at 4:48am
| Only had quick look at the coupons but napoli 3's and draw no bet 2's seema overpriced tonight, home against bayern |
Posted By: BigStrongMan
Date Posted: 18 Oct 2011 at 5:05am
------------- PM me for all forum moderation queries. |
Posted By: nvidic
Date Posted: 18 Oct 2011 at 5:33am
| Thats paddys price! Took the draw no bet myself |
Posted By: BigStrongMan
Date Posted: 18 Oct 2011 at 5:38am
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16/5 fuk me thats a monster price are they playing there u15s tonight! ------------- PM me for all forum moderation queries. |
Posted By: shoggy
Date Posted: 18 Oct 2011 at 6:16am
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I got them at 11/5 to pp and took urd game with over 2.5 goals.. ------------- Always remember you're unique, just like everyone else! |
Posted By: Bob Hoskins
Date Posted: 18 Oct 2011 at 6:18am
 They don't call you the bookie slayer for nothing ------------- Romario 2016: And the ticket mafia gets caught! Well, four years ago I had already told the government. |
Posted By: PhilliyK
Date Posted: 18 Oct 2011 at 7:09am
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Posted By: shoggy
Date Posted: 18 Oct 2011 at 7:15am
Yeah right enough only hope is that Napoli at home can hold them for a draw, Bayern are rampant at the minute. ------------- Always remember you're unique, just like everyone else! |
Posted By: BigStrongMan
Date Posted: 18 Oct 2011 at 7:19am
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anyside getting 3/1 at home with Cavani in the team is monster IMO
------------- PM me for all forum moderation queries. |
Posted By: nvidic
Date Posted: 18 Oct 2011 at 11:07am
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looks like my kean eye is a bit off, although it was only off the coupon, the way paddy have it done is Chance of bayern winning 47.6% Chance of draw 29.4% Chance of napoli winning 23.8% which is an amazing book because the over-round is only .8% (traditionally it is closer to 10%, the over-round is the amount over 100% that is gotten from turning the odds back into percentages, it is essentially the bookies profit and the lower it is the better) By comparison ladbrokes have have a 6% over-round and have their chances at; bayern- 54.5 draw- 28.5 napoli 23 so paddy power have a 7% difference on bayern and thus offer a better price so they actually have bayern under priced compared to other bookies.... still fancy napoli @2's draw no bet though! |
Posted By: The Boy Z
Date Posted: 18 Oct 2011 at 11:12am
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Newcastle Reserves @ Evens home to Liverpool Reserves tonight. ------------- Theres only one sport that matters.. |
Posted By: nvidic
Date Posted: 19 Oct 2011 at 3:29pm
| Get on zenith draw no bet now |
Posted By: nvidic
Date Posted: 19 Oct 2011 at 3:37pm
| Cracking match, no idea how zenit didnt win, the fiver i started yesterday with is still a fiver after 2 draw no bet refunds |
Posted By: DG80
Date Posted: 20 Oct 2011 at 12:56pm
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rubin kazan 11/5 draw no bet away to spurs tonight ------------- cup champions |
Posted By: nvidic
Date Posted: 22 Oct 2011 at 5:58pm
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BOYLESPORTS HAVE UNITED 2/1 TOMORROW TO BEAT CITY FOR NEW CUSTOMERS http://freebet.boylesports.com/oddschecker/?btag=27743 - http://freebet.boylesports.com/oddschecker/?btag=27743 |
Posted By: MayoMark
Date Posted: 22 Oct 2011 at 6:04pm
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Looking at their site now vidic, how would one go about getting that? ------------- They finally did it man... They killed my f**kin' car... |
Posted By: tribalarmy
Date Posted: 22 Oct 2011 at 6:08pm
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Balotelli is going to win so it doesn't matter. 5/2 to score. 8/1 first goalscorer. Favourite to be first man booked. 
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Posted By: MayoMark
Date Posted: 22 Oct 2011 at 6:29pm
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France +16 is over evens ------------- They finally did it man... They killed my f**kin' car... |
Posted By: The Big Club
Date Posted: 22 Oct 2011 at 8:04pm
yeah HUGE price on it like a car bonnet |
Posted By: nvidic
Date Posted: 23 Oct 2011 at 2:52am
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If its not there go through the link on the oddschecker homepage mark or shud be here http://freebet.boylesports.com/oddschecker/?btag=27743 - http://freebet.boylesports.com/oddschecker/?btag=27743 |
Posted By: The Big Club
Date Posted: 23 Oct 2011 at 5:33am
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Posted By: nvidic
Date Posted: 23 Oct 2011 at 5:35am
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Aguero special, 5/2 score anytime today and two more specials with paddy power http://tinyurl.com/nvspecials - http://tinyurl.com/nvspecials |
Posted By: nvidic
Date Posted: 23 Oct 2011 at 10:48am
not my day... went for qpr @ 9's and they scored just as i cliked confirm, meant to back atalanta at 4's and never did 
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Posted By: nvidic
Date Posted: 23 Oct 2011 at 10:51am
| QPR score next goal @ 4/5 |
Posted By: tribalarmy
Date Posted: 23 Oct 2011 at 10:56am
Mario 
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Posted By: nvidic
Date Posted: 23 Oct 2011 at 10:57am
fair f**ks, three correct bets |
Posted By: MayoMark
Date Posted: 23 Oct 2011 at 12:04pm
Should have lumped on France +16  Have to be more decisive!
Thank God I lumped on City -4 though ------------- They finally did it man... They killed my f**kin' car... |
Posted By: ShamtheRam
Date Posted: 23 Oct 2011 at 12:12pm
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One of the lads had a Man City/QPR double.......35/1 ------------- YBIG NPF founder and CEO |
Posted By: bhob
Date Posted: 24 Oct 2011 at 6:07pm
| United -1 against Aldershot 4/6 defo worth a big punt |
Posted By: nvidic
Date Posted: 25 Oct 2011 at 3:34pm
| Few mins from cardiff, arse, huddersfield, some german team coming in at 13/2 |
Posted By: nvidic
Date Posted: 25 Oct 2011 at 3:35pm
| And of course huddersfield concede as i wrote that |
Posted By: PhilliyK
Date Posted: 25 Oct 2011 at 3:45pm
Beat me too Nvidic - still thats 40 games unbeaten for them now 
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Posted By: MintBerryCrunch
Date Posted: 26 Oct 2011 at 1:02pm
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6/4 draw no bet for stoke looks decent
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Posted By: nvidic
Date Posted: 26 Oct 2011 at 1:27pm
just what i'd come on here to say! its a great price, the win is too |
Posted By: rossieman
Date Posted: 26 Oct 2011 at 1:30pm
| Newcastle 7/5 .they have a strong team out |
Posted By: MintBerryCrunch
Date Posted: 26 Oct 2011 at 1:37pm
Have it with a double man city -1 which is 11/8 they have a good side out
|
Posted By: The Boy Z
Date Posted: 27 Oct 2011 at 7:09am
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Wayside 2/5 tonight,should be 1/6
Phoenix 1/3 tomorrow,should be 1/10 ------------- Theres only one sport that matters.. |
Posted By: nvidic
Date Posted: 27 Oct 2011 at 7:31am
| Shamrock v Galway - either team not to score 4/7 |
Posted By: nvidic
Date Posted: 29 Oct 2011 at 5:59pm
had money on that shamrock galway bet but in an accum that lost, annoying have the above in an accum too, other bit of the accum came in at 6/5, whats the story with the above?? paddy power not given results |
Posted By: The Boy Z
Date Posted: 30 Oct 2011 at 10:11am
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Wayside won AET Phoenix won 1-0 ------------- Theres only one sport that matters.. |
Posted By: nvidic
Date Posted: 31 Oct 2011 at 6:33am
they've paid out on wayside for the 90 min win for some reason |
Posted By: nvidic
Date Posted: 09 Nov 2011 at 1:28pm
| honeymonster first g/s on fri, 33/1 in ladbrokes just 20/1 in paddy power, scored in our last two games against them way back when, gonna throw €3 on it |
Posted By: nvidic
Date Posted: 20 Nov 2011 at 5:34pm
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like the look of apoel this week, on good form in the group, tough opponents but overpriced, will back the 1-1 draw @ 15/2 (boyles) myself arsenal look good value to a dortmund team that don't travel well @ evens Inter surely the steal of the week though 7/5 away to trabzonspor |
Posted By: jackshat
Date Posted: 20 Nov 2011 at 5:37pm
They had fun on their recent travel to Munich  Agree with Apoel, I will be putting 10 quid on that. ------------- It's Jack Shat |
Posted By: nvidic
Date Posted: 22 Nov 2011 at 12:21pm
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inter at 2's on betfair is absolutely unbelievable |
Posted By: nvidic
Date Posted: 13 Dec 2011 at 3:43pm
| BBC sports personailty - Dai Greene, take him at 20's or more for top three if he makes it to those odds, he's drifting out that direction on betfair |
Posted By: MJD
Date Posted: 13 Dec 2011 at 3:49pm
| Aston Villa home to Liverpool this weekend. 3/1!!! |
Posted By: nvidic
Date Posted: 13 Sep 2012 at 4:16pm
| Belgium to beat Serbia away 19/10 with Bwin, would absolutely lump on if I had an account with them, could never get it working though |
Posted By: irishmufc
Date Posted: 13 Sep 2012 at 4:22pm
I dont know about that one. they put 6 past Wales and dont look like they ll be a pushover at home tbh. draw written all over it ------------- Wings? They're only the band The Beatles could have been. |
Posted By: rossieman
Date Posted: 13 Sep 2012 at 4:22pm
That a WC qualifier?Belgium have some brilliant players but they didn't look great against Wales(who were down to ten men).I wouldnt touch that bet.
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Posted By: irishmufc
Date Posted: 13 Sep 2012 at 4:23pm
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Ya they re in the same group ------------- Wings? They're only the band The Beatles could have been. |
Posted By: Roberto Baggio
Date Posted: 13 Sep 2012 at 4:27pm
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Starting to think this Belgium team are slightly over rated
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Posted By: rossieman
Date Posted: 13 Sep 2012 at 4:39pm
good individuals but they don't seem to click as a team.It will be between them and Serbia for second place in the group.Cant see many teams going to Belgrade and getting a win.
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Posted By: irishmufc
Date Posted: 13 Sep 2012 at 4:41pm
they ve under achieved for the team they have though their last qualifying group wasent easy but serious questions will be asked if they dont qualify. i hope they do just to see what they ll be like in Brazil ------------- Wings? They're only the band The Beatles could have been. |
Posted By: Max Power
Date Posted: 13 Sep 2012 at 4:49pm
| They are a very young team still though. Would be surprized if they didnt qualify for one of the next 2 World Cups. |
Posted By: nvidic
Date Posted: 13 Sep 2012 at 6:49pm
| i'm telling ya lads they have the odds wrong here, watched both teams recently and belgium recenetly are far ahead, would have expected 6/4 about them or even 13/8 both teams on this one. |
Posted By: Sono
Date Posted: 16 Sep 2012 at 9:16am
Fellaini 24 Kompany 26 Hazard 21 Vermaelen 26 Dembele 25 Vertonghen 25 Benteke 21 Mirallas 24 Lukaku 19 Mignolet 24 Oldest player of those mentioned is 26, hardly a group of underachievers as you have mentioned, they are 40th in the world but that will quickly change. To call them underachievers is madness, would love those all to be in our national side! Exciting times ahead for this team. |
Posted By: nvidic
Date Posted: 27 Sep 2012 at 7:08pm
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T.Dilshan Top runscorer in t20 worldcup, 28 in bet365, 8's everywhere else, blatant mistake, he's second at the minute in the table or there abouts, get on fast, can lay it off on betfair if needs be edit - 3 places e/w |
Posted By: keitho5
Date Posted: 27 Sep 2012 at 7:38pm
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Threw a few euro each way on him cheers nvidic ------------- Oooooooooohhhhhh yes sir...... |
Posted By: nvidic
Date Posted: 29 Oct 2012 at 1:06pm
| Atlanta Falcons 4/1 to make the superbowl, stats say from 7-0, you have 45% chance of making it, make of that what you will |
Posted By: RogerMilla
Date Posted: 29 Oct 2012 at 1:10pm
dont think they are good enough and will exit before the bowl ,
that stat is skewed towards the earlier teams , would like to see the figures for the last ten years ,
i remember tennessee for instance a few years back going 10-0 and exiting early.
but judging by the stat you provided above it is an overpriced bet  ------------- The first time the Devil made me do it. The second time I did it on my own. |
Posted By: nvidic
Date Posted: 29 Oct 2012 at 1:15pm
As usual, not tipping it, just think is overpriced! You can take 1/2 odds on them making the conference game either which might not be a bad shout! |
Posted By: thebronze14
Date Posted: 29 Oct 2012 at 6:22pm
Take it I didn't win either of my bets! |
Posted By: nvidic
Date Posted: 29 Oct 2012 at 6:42pm
nah, he floundered big time after that |
Posted By: SuperDave84
Date Posted: 29 Oct 2012 at 9:58pm
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so, 1/2 on them making the conference game, but 4/1 on making the superbowl? so 8/1 on them winning the conference game? bizarre!
------------- 
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Posted By: nvidic
Date Posted: 29 Oct 2012 at 10:06pm
sorry 1/2 e/w i meant so 2/1! |
Posted By: nvidic
Date Posted: 21 Sep 2018 at 12:20pm
| Boyles have Bohs at 11/1 for the FAI cup, they also have Derry priced at 10/1 but Bohs knocked them out - i.e. they haven't updated the price since the quarter final, Paddy had them at 9/2 yesterday. |
Posted By: Borussia
Date Posted: 21 Sep 2018 at 12:31pm
| They'll take your bet and then cancel it later and say it was a mistake. |
Posted By: nvidic
Date Posted: 21 Sep 2018 at 12:51pm
| Possibly but worst case then you get the 9/2 that was available elsewhere and still have a winning bet. |
Posted By: Shedite
Date Posted: 21 Sep 2018 at 1:59pm
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Posted By: The White Cafu
Date Posted: 21 Sep 2018 at 2:03pm
| I'd fancy Bohs ahead of Cork anyway, will be sticking that on. |
Posted By: BrendanD88
Date Posted: 21 Sep 2018 at 4:10pm
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Cardiff 22/1 tomorrow. |
Posted By: pre Madonna
Date Posted: 21 Sep 2018 at 4:17pm
That joke was funny twenty years ago. ------------- Greed has won, big finance has won. Whatever small role elite clubs still play in the local communities from which they grew is dwarfed now by their position as global brands. |
Posted By: GB 1HughJarse
Date Posted: 21 Sep 2018 at 4:41pm
It was still funny twenty minutes ago. |