Playoff update thread

I'll admit I haven't a clue how this works and I'm far too lazy to find out. But some on here are really tuned into it so maybe update this thread when results do or don't go our way  

Dalymount79 wrote: We’re ranked 25 (26th in NL table - Germany) in the playoff table. 8 spots (4 for path A and 4 path B) available so need 17 teams above us to qualify directly to guarantee a playoff spot. Some groups have 3 teams ranked above us. not all 3 can qualify so some spots already take. Eg Spain, Scotland and Norway and England, Italy and Ukraine. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/UEFA_Euro_2024_qualifying_play-offs At this that’s if say it’s great than 70% chance we’ll be playing Slovenia away or Albania at home in a playoff, via path A.

If automatic qualification doesn’t work out for us, does finishing 3rd in the group have a positive bearing on our ability to gain a play-off place?  I.e. if all of that NL permutations stuff described above falls into place for us , do we still need to finish as high as possible in Group B (3rd place) ? Obviously, we’d want to anyway ffs.         I know the Wikipedia page says play-offs are only based on NL standings.

Edited by CantonasCat - 25 Mar 2023 at 10:46pm

djhegzy wrote: CantonasCat wrote: If automatic qualification doesn’t work out for us, does finishing 3rd in the group have a positive bearing on our ability to gain a play-off place?  I.e. if all of that NL permutations stuff described above falls into place for us , do we still need to finish as high as possible in Group B (3rd place) ? Obviously, we’d want to anyway ffs.         I know the Wikipedia page says play-offs are only based on NL standings. Someone in here answered this for me a couple of months ago, but I can’t remember, so apologies for being blind to what is probably a simple answer.  No could finish last in our group, no bering at all

To simplify it, any goals that Ireland score you take the mean average of them goals, mulitply it by pi and take it away from the median value of the total goals score by 3 weakest teams in Asia.

kevin100 wrote: https://editorial.uefa.com/resources/0279-1636ce1f2295-f77616bdffaa-1000/un.pdf.pdf  here are the overall rankings posted above. We are 26th in the list. There are 8th play off places available so to be the 8th team to sneak a play off we will need 18 of the 25 teams above us to qualify.  Group A Scotland/Norway  Group C Ukraine/Italy  Group H Slovenia/Finland Group J Iceland/Bosnia  All possess teams who finished above us and will more then likely see Spain,England,Denmark and Portugal qualify with one of the 4 each above. That means 4 teams above us will be needing a play off straight away.  That’s left with 3 teams above us not qualifying in the remaining 6 groups. It’s vital for us the following come out of their respective groups. These 3 Groups almost certainly hold the key for us. Group E Serbia/Hungary  Group D Croatia/Wales  Group G Czech/Poland  Then leaves as they would say in the US elections key/swing states  Group F Austria/Sweden in a shoot-out,Group I Israel/Kosovo/Romania will be competing for the 2nd qualifying spot and our own group.  We want Austria and Israel qualifying (wouldn’t be optimistic about Israel) and let’s say we ain’t qualifying Holland coming out as opposed to Greece.  If 5 of the 6 teams mentioned above in Group E,D and G can qualify we will almost certainly get a play off spot even if Austria and Israel fail to qualify. One potential flier is Slovakia might serve it up to Bosnia/Iceland in Group G that would be a complete disaster if they qualified or of course Greece pipping Holland to 2nd place.

kevin100 wrote: https://editorial.uefa.com/resources/0279-1636ce1f2295-f77616bdffaa-1000/un.pdf.pdf  here are the overall rankings posted above. We are 26th in the list. There are 8th play off places available so to be the 8th team to sneak a play off we will need 18 of the 25 teams above us to qualify.  Group A Scotland/Norway  Group C Ukraine/Italy  Group H Slovenia/Finland Group J Iceland/Bosnia  All possess teams who finished above us and will more then likely see Spain,England,Denmark and Portugal qualify with one of the 4 each above. That means 4 teams above us will be needing a play off straight away.  That’s left with 3 teams above us not qualifying in the remaining 6 groups. It’s vital for us the following come out of their respective groups. These 3 Groups almost certainly hold the key for us. Group E Serbia/Hungary  Group D Croatia/Wales  Group G Czech/Poland  Then leaves as they would say in the US elections key/swing states  Group F Austria/Sweden in a shoot-out,Group I Israel/Kosovo/Romania will be competing for the 2nd qualifying spot and our own group.  We want Austria and Israel qualifying (wouldn’t be optimistic about Israel) and let’s say we ain’t qualifying Holland coming out as opposed to Greece.  If 5 of the 6 teams mentioned above in Group E,D and G can qualify we will almost certainly get a play off spot even if Austria and Israel fail to qualify. One potential flier is Slovakia might serve it up to Bosnia/Iceland in Group G that would be a complete disaster if they qualified or of course Greece pipping Holland to 2nd place.

Great thread

A massive boost for us with the North going 1-0 down. Although I have no idea why, I just saw someone say it on another thread