EURO 2024 Qualifier GROUP B

From Wikipedia (which I'd imagine just pulled straight from UEFA website)
 

So from my understanding of the above at this current moment

Croatia, Portugal*,Hungary*,Netherlands From League A are guaranteed a playoff spot the only one there you could probably say might fail to be top 2 would Hungary, if Croatia Portugal, Netherlands qualify their playoff spot goes to the best ranked 2nd placed team in League A not yet qualified at present time that would be Denmark, Belgium and Spain (again all 3 of them more than likely would finish top 2) but for argument sake let's say Denmark didn't they'd take one spot the next spot would go down to one of Poland,Switzerland or France(currently 3rd) , again if they have qualified it would go down to the 4th place teams at moment Austria,England,Czech R and Wales , If the first 3 there qualified Wales would take the 3rd spot the 4th spot would then be taken by the best ranked League D winner currently Estonia

So League A playoffs would look something like this

Hungary v Estonia

Wales v Denmark

My understanding is also that if all teams from League A qualified then the playoffs would be

The winners of League D

Estonia, Latvia and then the next two highest ranked teams not qualified who aren't qualified for League B playoffs already, so for argument sake let's say Serbia and Ukraine.

There's a lot of unknowns at this point. We'll know a bit more in the next few days. Barring a disastrous loss against Armenia we will be ranked somewhere between 25th and 28th. But there's a big difference between being 25th and being 28th. 25th still gives a decent playoff chance I think. Whoever finishes 27th will need a miracle. 28th can forget it. So there are a load of games over the next few nights not involving us that will have a huge impact. Starting with the two games in the Finland/Romania group tonight.

We could be playing literally anybody and have this be the case. 

Bulgaria away and Finland hone - out of the running.

Serbia away and Luxembourg home - out of the running.

Armenia away and Ukraine reserves home - out of the running.

Literally any set of fixtures has the capability to take us out of the running after 2 games at the moment.

By my reckoning, looking at the likely final seedings,

We have a 3 in 10 chance of a decent draw from Pot 1

We have a 7 in 10 chance of a decent draw from Pot 2

We have a 8 in 10 chance of a decent draw from Pot 4

The main thing will be to avoid England/France from Pot 2 - 80% chance of doing so, so let's just hope "the luck of the Irish" holds. Of course if we got England/France from Pot 2 but Hungary/Denmark/Switzerland/Czech Republic from Pot 1, we would still have some sort of chance, while acknowledging that the teams in Pot 1 are generally there for a reason.

Yep would imagine so, usually done by computers now so unless there is any major issues then yeah last few years they've had fixtures either sorted later in the day or within the next day or so