How confident are you about this campaign?

Denmark have already played Georgia twice

Realistically I can see us get 1 point against Georgia and 1 at home to Denmark

I can see Denmark get 1 against the Swiss, 3 against Gib at home and 1 at home against us

And the swiz I can see them get 1 against Denmark and 3 against us, Georgia and Gibraltar

Thats leaves us on 13, danes on 14 and swiss on 18. 

As ever We need to beat one of the top 2 and not f**k up against Georgia.

Take Georgia next month, We just wont go for it when We know a draw will do.

I think Switzerland at home will be on us for 90 minutes until they get a goal. 

And We will leave it all up to the last day when Denmark will come to town and it will be a cup final with the stats in their favour.

All eyes on the Welsh progress,as they hold the key to our play off spot as far as I know.

However, yesterday is a reminder that Georgia away is still a tough game. They will also expect much more from us after March, and know we aren’t the same side that played them in 2017. We then have to take on the Swiss and the Danes. Both have had the upper hand on us, on the pitch, without being able to close out the result. I think the term “quietly confident” can validly apply, but I wouldn’t be much more expectant than I was on Thursday.

You've got to discount the Gibraltar points which leave us with a narrow win at home vs Georgia and some a really solid point in Denmark and a home point vs the swiss.

The biggest result for me is the away to denmark point. We can probably draw our way to qualification. 

3rd favourites by a distance is a bit of an exaggeration but I think Hans has a point. 

We've got 3 very tough remaining matches and it's not inconceivable that we might fail to win any of them. 

Both Switzerland and Denmark (less so) deserved to beat us in those games ans we've definitely had a fair bit of luck to be in the position we're in. 

If we beat Georgia than I would say we're slightly more likely to qualify than Denmark (assuming they don't beat Switzerland) 

We don't do very well as favourites tags so let's hope Georgia away 2019 isn't the turning point that Austria at home was in 2017. 

So as much as yesterday was a big result for Ireland, it will not take a capitulation or anything like that for us not to qualify. We are still 3rd favourites by a distance to win the group. We are still 3rd favourites by a distance to qualify. Rightly so. Huge amount of work to do to qualify from here (as the table without Gibraltar shows, which is effectively the real table).