Cheltenham Festival 2020 |
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Trigboy 10
Liam Brady Joined: 02 May 2015 Status: Offline Points: 1322 |
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very little hype for Cheltenham this year
Edited by Trigboy 10 - 06 Mar 2019 at 8:34am |
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ChesterCopperpot
Liam Brady Joined: 28 Feb 2019 Status: Offline Points: 1169 |
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Any confirmation what races Laurina and Benies run in? Against each other a tough call. If in separate races, both winners
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Neil Armstrong
Jack Charlton Cyavan Cyunt Joined: 17 Jun 2010 Location: Ireland Status: Offline Points: 5003 |
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Whats going on with Rich Ricci and BetBright??
https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2019/mar/05/anger-betbright-ceases-trading-declares-ante-post-bets-void Is this why Ruby has not been riding any of the Ricci horses? Has their been a fallout? Another headache for Mullins
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Ulster Champions 2020 our 40th Title. Take that all ye Moanaghan ***ts!
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cardwizzard
Liam Brady Joined: 05 Feb 2013 Location: Meath Status: Offline Points: 1023 |
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Magic Saint in the Grand Annual. Only decent bet I've had so far, available at 6/1 NRNB it seems to tick all the right boxes for me. Fingers crossed
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ChesterCopperpot
Liam Brady Joined: 28 Feb 2019 Status: Offline Points: 1169 |
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888 have agreed to honour all ante post bets, had to really, would have been a sh*t storm
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Neil Armstrong
Jack Charlton Cyavan Cyunt Joined: 17 Jun 2010 Location: Ireland Status: Offline Points: 5003 |
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lapoftheodds.com |
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Ulster Champions 2020 our 40th Title. Take that all ye Moanaghan ***ts!
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Jimmy Raggatip
500 Club la la la Joined: 28 May 2018 Status: Offline Points: 727 |
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been told to back Cut the Mustard in the County Hurdle. One of Willies
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irish_major
Ray Houghton Bookie Slayer Joined: 20 Jan 2009 Location: Ireland Status: Offline Points: 3935 |
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Limini is some each way bet at 7/1 with ladbrokes in the mares race on tuesday. Will be filling my boots
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Here we go again
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ChesterCopperpot
Liam Brady Joined: 28 Feb 2019 Status: Offline Points: 1169 |
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Limini and Thistlecrack two horses I always have to put something on just in case. Nice ew double there
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Borussia
Roy Keane Joined: 14 Oct 2010 Location: UK Status: Online Points: 10742 |
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He's currently number 53 : will he get in ?? NRNB so you could have a bet to nothing.
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HuntysCousin
Jack Charlton Joined: 26 Sep 2011 Location: Waterford Status: Offline Points: 5241 |
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Posh Trish in the Mares Novices on Thursday. Gone into 6s now, but her price has been shortening non stop recently. Could go off a lot shorter, Nicholls has her ready for this race with a while by all accounts
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Green Devil
Robbie Keane Aye Kes, I've pissed me-self again Joined: 06 Oct 2010 Location: Barbados Status: Offline Points: 22173 |
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There are few "superstars" at the moment in national hunt racing unfortunately. We were spoiled for the last decade with the amount of genuine top class horses that were on show. Very few at the moment capture the publics imagination. It's the least interested I've been in the festival since I was about 16.
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Borussia
Roy Keane Joined: 14 Oct 2010 Location: UK Status: Online Points: 10742 |
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Getting positive mentions in a load of the previews so not surprising she is shortening.
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HuntysCousin
Jack Charlton Joined: 26 Sep 2011 Location: Waterford Status: Offline Points: 5241 |
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Honeysuckle has been ruled out now, so her price is probably gonna shorten even more
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BrendanD88
Roy Keane 99% of my posts are emojis Joined: 29 Mar 2013 Location: Co Down Status: Offline Points: 10008 |
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Still 6/1 with Betway, got on it before the price inevitably shortens. Kevin Blake was very confident she would win. |
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Neil Armstrong
Jack Charlton Cyavan Cyunt Joined: 17 Jun 2010 Location: Ireland Status: Offline Points: 5003 |
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Alex Hammond has her best bets
for all the races at the Cheltenham Festival - with Apple's Jade getting the
nod on Tuesday. Well, this time last year I wrote to you about the weather disruption in
the run up to the Cheltenham Festival as the 'Beast from the East' did its
worst. This time round we've almost had the opposite problem with an incredibly
dry winter and a mini-heatwave last month. Hold that thought, the rain has finally arrived and saved the day with
the ground expected to be much more fitting for the jumps season and at the
time of writing (Thursday) it was described as good to soft, soft in places on
all five tracks. So with normal service resumed, let's try and find some winners. Tuesday verdicts: SKY BET SUPREME NOVICES' HURDLE: Fakir D'Oudairies. I've been
strong on Joseph O'Brien's juvenile for a while, as a French import he has
plenty of experience and the weight allowance he gets for taking on older
horses could just swing it in his favour. RACING POST ARKLE: Glen Forsa. What's not to like about Mick
Channon's young chaser? The ground has come right for him, he jumps well and
comes here unbeaten over fences. That run includes a tidy defeat of Kalashnikov
when dropped to two miles in the rescheduled Kingmaker at Sandown last time
out. ULTIMA HANDICAP CHASE: I picked Vintage Clouds as my each-way
selection last year and he finished third at 7/1. I bet he won't be far off
again even from a mark off 144, which is 3lbs higher than 12 months ago. Sue
Smith has her horses in good form and at 20/1 he is considerably bigger in the
market. UNIBET CHAMPION HURDLE: Last year I fancied Buveur D'Air and he did the
double but can he complete the elusive treble? I think Apple's Jade is
the fly in the ointment and it's been reported she's in the form of her life.
OLBG MARES' HURDLE: The aforementioned Apple's Jade looked a certainty
in this last year, but could only finish third behind Benie Des Dieuxand I
won't be opposing last year's winner this time around. CLOSE BROTHERS NOVICES' HANDICAP CHASE: Gordon Elliott'sCubomania could
be each-way value here. 20/1 with Sky Bet, who are paying four places. He's won
four of his 11 starts over fences and was going well when out-running his 50/1
price in the Grade One Drinmore befire falling two out. He had a host of
entries this week, but can go well despite top weight here. NATIONAL HUNT CHASE: With plenty of hype around OK Corral, I'm
inclined to give Paul Nolan's Discorama a chance. He's 8/1 with Sky Bet
and was unlucky to fall at the last at Naas last time out in the race won by
Ballyward when not without a chance. He was second in the Martin Pipe last
year, so has Festival form, and there's plenty to like about him.
Wednesday verdicts: BALLYMORE NOVICES' HURDLE: Samcro was the hotpot in this last year and
duly obliged. I've been keen on Brewin'upastorm for some time this
season and I won't change my mind, despite his final flight fall at Cheltenham
last time out when looking like the winner. The horse I'm most worried about is
Battleoverdoyen, who unlike Samcro, has managed to get here with very little hype
despite a similar profile for the same connections. Maybe each-way for the
former at the price. RSA CHASE: Is there another Presenting Percy lurking in the field?
Santini hasn't had the ideal preparation for this and I think that will count
against him. I like Delta Work and hope he gives Gordon Elliott
another winner after what should be a good start to the week. He beat Le
Richebourg in the Drinmore and then won another Grade One at Leopardstown over
Christmas. He is taking the same path as Presenting Percy anyway having won the
Pertemps Final at the Festival last year.
CORAL CUP: Paul Nicholls thinks his Brio Conti has a chance in
the Coral Cup. He seems to be improving and off a mark of 146 and with a fine
strike rate (5 wins from just 11 starts) he'll do for me for his in-form trainer. BETWAY QUEEN MOTHER CHAMPION CHASE: Altior...again! GLENFARCLAS CROSS-COUNTRY CHASE: Tiger Roll...again! BOODLES (FRED WINTER) JUVENILE HANDICAP HURDLE: Joseph O'Brien probably
has the best juvenile hurdlers around and I hope he'll have a clean sweep with
his youngsters (albeit the Sky Bet Supreme isn't restricted to four-year-olds). Band
Of Outlaws is his representative here (what price the Supreme, Boodles and
Triumph treble for the trainer Sky Bet??) and the horse comes into the race
having won his last two over hurdles. This is his handicap debut over obstacles
from a mark of 139 and his trainer should have a good idea of what he's capable
of winning from with his other smart juveniles as a good yardstick. * The news came through as I was writing this that Sir Erec has suffered
a stone bruise, but the trainer is confident he will get him ready for Friday's
JCB Triumph Hurdle. It shouldn't cause major problems if it's not too serious.
Thursday verdicts: JLT NOVICES' CHASE: I'm a huge fan of Colin Tizzard's Lostintranslation.
Inexplicably Defi De Seuil runs here rather than the Arkle, despite Le
Richebourg missing Tuesday's Arkle (Like Defi he is owned by JP McManus).
Still, that should make Lostintranslation a more appealing price. He was beaten
fair and square by that rival last time out, but had the measure of Philip
Hobbs' horse the time before at this track in the Dipper Chase (when receiving
weight). In reality there's not much between the pair and hopefully
Lostintranslation will make it a real test of stamina which will play to his
strengths. PERTEMPS HANDICAP HURDLE: Sire Du Berlais is another leading
contender for Gordon Elliott, but he's the market leader and I think another of
the Irish raiders can run well here. Walk To Freedom may be nine years old, but
I think Jessica Harrington's horse has more to offer over this three miles trip
after a strong show last time at Leopardstown. RYANAIR CHASE: Footpad is a risky proposition having been off
since suffering an overreach (a cut to the front leg caused by a hind foot)
when finishing runner up to Simply Ned at Leopardstown over Christmas. Having
said that, last year's Arkle winner is dangerous to leave out and as he's in
the hands of champion trainer Willie Mullins. On pedigree he should handle the
trip and Mullins has apparently been schooling and working him without hind
shoes to stop the problem recurring. In fact he said he may run him at
Cheltenham without them too. Road To Respect has been confirmed for this race
rather than the Gold Cup as his trainer Noel Meade felt he didn't get home in the
the latter race last year when fourth to Native River. He's a big danger and
his trainer is in flying form at the moment.
SUN RACING STAYERS HURDLE: It's Paisley Park all the way
for me. I was lucky enough to meet the horse at Emma Lavelle's yard with his
owner Andrew Gemmell a couple of weeks ago and I really hope he wins for his
connections. Paisley Park has matured this season and is unbeaten in four
starts. The absence of Penhill has undoubtedly helped his chance too. Sadly, we
won't get anything like the 25/1 that his owner tells me he is shrewdly
clutching. BROWN ADVISORY & MERRIEBELLE STABLE PLATE: I've already backedSpiritofthegames in
this for Dan Skelton. He finished third behind leading JLT Novices' Chase
contender Kidisart in a Novices' Handicap Chase over this course and distance
last time out. That was at the end of January and as he goes well fresh the gap
between races should be ok. He was a decent handicap hurdler, finishing fifth
in the County Hurdle last season, and looks set to be useful over fences too.
This will be just his fourth start over the larger obstacles. NATIONAL HUNT BREEDERS SUPPORTED BY TATTERSALLS MARES' NOVICES' HURDLE: Nicky
Henderson's French import Epatante is short enough for this and
deservedly so. She's a Grade One winner in her native country and has now won 2
novice hurdles in the UK for her new connections. She looked to be getting the
hang of things at Exeter last time out. However, Paul Nicholls has a realistic
contender who offers a bit more value, in Posh Trish. She a tough mare,
although giving 5lbs to Epatante means she'll have to be. FULKE WALWYN KIM MUIR CHALLENGE CUP: Measureofmydreams has
been incredibly well supported for Gordon Elliott, I think top amateur Jamie
Codd takes the ride. He had his first start for Elliott having left Noel Meade,
and his first run for 22 months, at Fairyhouse a month ago and he ran a solid
race to finish third. He has already appeared at three Cheltenham Festivals
with a bold show to finish third to Minella Rocco and Native River in the 2016
National Hunt Chase when trained by Willie Mullins.
Friday verdicts JCB TRIUMPH HURDLE: Cheltenham wouldn't be Cheltenham without a last
minute drama and the stone bruise suffered by Sir Erec on Thursday
has made a few nerves jangle the week before the Festival. In the big scheme of
things it shouldn't be a major issue as all his work has been done now (a bit
like an athlete tapering before a big event). I'm not ripping up my betting
slip just yet! Pic D'Orhy is an interesting French import for Paul Nicholls.
The Sky Sports Racing French expert Lauren Barbarin highlighted this horse when
we worked together a couple of weeks ago. RANDOX HEALTH COUNTY HANDICAP HURDLE: We don't quite know what's going
to run, or what will get in, but here are a couple to watch out for if they do.
He may be lacking in a bit of experience, but Crook's Peak did
nothing wrong at Newbury last time out and he's improving. Philip Hobbs trains
him, and I think another of his runners is capable of running a big race.
Gumball beat Verdana Blue on the all-weather at Kempton at the end of last
month, which was a bit of a surprise, but could be the confidence boost that
was needed to get this former smart juvenile/novice hurdler back on track. ALBERT BARTLETT NOVICES' HURDLE: This looks a tough race to sort
out (is there an easy one at the Festival?), but Derrinross is one to
watch for Irish trainer Philip Dempsey providing the ground is soft enough.
This horse has a decent engine, but is very ground dependant, which is why he
hasn't run since the end of December. This Irish point-to-point winner has
thrived since being stepped up to three miles under rules beating a subsequent
Grade 1 runner-up Sams Profile on his penultimate start and winning a Grade 2
at Naas last time out.
MAGNERS CHELTENHAM GOLD CUP: To go with Presenting Percy or not?
Coneygree won the Gold Cup with just three previous chase starts to his name
and Pat Kelly's pride and joy has run five times over fences coming into this,
so positively experienced in comparison. Regardless of his ability and love of
Cheltenham, he's short enough in the betting, so I'm taking a chance on Native
River becoming the first horse since Best Mate to win back-to-back Gold
Cups. In fact, his trainer Colin Tizzard has an incredibly strong hand in the
blue riband with Welsh National winner Elegant Escape and former King George
and World Hurdle hero Thistlecrack realistic contenders too for the feature
prize. It might pay to back that duo each way at big prices. ST JAMES'S PLACE FOXHUNTER CHASE: Ucello Conti owes me one (or
five!). He's been rejuvenated in the point-to-point and Hunter Chase field with
three wins in a row now for Gordon Elliott. He's well capable of winning a big
one and maybe this will be his day. JOHNNY HENDERSON GRAND ANNUAL: I gave you a couple of horses in last
week's blog and one of them was the Paul Nicholls trained Magic Saintin
this. Nicholls gave him a very positive endorsement and expects the
five-year-old to be better than a handicapper in time. MARTIN PIPE CONDITIONAL JOCKEYS' HANDICAP HURDLE: Another lottery and what a way to sign off the meeting. It's probably
best to follow the money, so there are worse each-way bets than on Canardier,
who is lightly raced and relatively unexposed and has come in for support for
the race. He's trained by Dermot McLoughlin in Ireland and things certainly
seem to be falling into place for the 7 year-old, who has only run 8 times in
his life. He hasn't run since winning at Cheltenham back in October and I
suppose that means the handicapper hasn't had another chance to put him up. He
is entered in the Coral Cup and County Hurdle. |
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Ulster Champions 2020 our 40th Title. Take that all ye Moanaghan ***ts!
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HuntysCousin
Jack Charlton Joined: 26 Sep 2011 Location: Waterford Status: Offline Points: 5241 |
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Just a heads up, William Hill are doing 7 places for the opener
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ShamtheRam
Paul McGrath Joined: 05 Apr 2009 Location: Ireland Status: Offline Points: 18144 |
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Not a patch on Sky bets if you lose money back as cash offer
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YBIG NPF founder and CEO
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