UK Politics Thread

He is boxed in.

An Irish Sea border is the only way out ergo NI will remain in the CU and SM.

I’d be fairly confident the above will happen. I foresee the EU and UK blowing off the cobwebs on the December 2017 deal and fudge some wording to go along with it. It will then undoubtedly pass the House of Commons as the parliament faces up to a sh*t or bust scenario. An election will then be triggered enabling Boris to run on a ticket claiming he delivered Brexit. The DUP will have served their purpose and will either be thrown under the bus or will find some way to say the fudge deals with their concerns – either way it matters little to the Tories. Farage’s party will be irrelevant by then allowing Boris to “re-claim” those seats he would have lost had he agreed to an extension. The SNP will be rubbing their hands and will cry blue murder. It again matters little to the Tories as they are likely to be wiped out in Scotland according to the polls and a special deal for NI will only make them even more unpopular in Scotland. SNP independence demands is a battle for another day.

Whether Boris wins the election or even enough to form a stable coalition is another matter entirely.