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Euro 2016 Finals - Draw

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SuperDave84 View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote SuperDave84 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 18 Nov 2015 at 10:38pm
Yeah, four points (aka a win and a draw, back in Italia '90 and Mexico '86) really increases the odds of progress. Five out of six in USA '94 progressed with a win and a draw (Norway, in our group, being the unlucky ones), four out of four in Italia '90, and four out of four in Mexico '86. It would even have been enough in Spain '82, had they used the same format, where six out of six teams on four points would have qualified (albeit of course the format was different and a number of teams failed to make it through).

Getting knocked out on four points would be pretty unlucky, but being knocked out on three and you could have few complaints.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote gspain Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 18 Nov 2015 at 10:46pm

I still think 3 points will have a great shout of a 2nd round spot although by no means guaranteed.  I'd be amazed if you had 4 3rd placed teams on 4 points.  Obviously Norway went home with 4 points in our group in 1994. 

It could be interesting to look back in late June and see what was enough.    


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote SuperDave84 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 18 Nov 2015 at 10:53pm
Well, I wouldn't be surprised if a team got through on three points.... but I'd be less surprised to see a team going out on three points. Goal difference is likely to play a part if you end up on three points, it's a lot less likely to end up counting if you get four points.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote rolo Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 18 Nov 2015 at 11:12pm
all the third place teams face a group winner in the 2nd round.

That winner comes from Groups A-D.

So to avoid playing France in Lyon in the second round, 4 points should be the target.

Thats assuming France win their group.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Gary McKay Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 19 Nov 2015 at 12:22am
Originally posted by SuperDave84 SuperDave84 wrote:

Yeah, four points (aka a win and a draw, back in Italia '90 and Mexico '86) really increases the odds of progress. Five out of six in USA '94 progressed with a win and a draw (Norway, in our group, being the unlucky ones), four out of four in Italia '90, and four out of four in Mexico '86. It would even have been enough in Spain '82, had they used the same format, where six out of six teams on four points would have qualified (albeit of course the format was different and a number of teams failed to make it through).

Getting knocked out on four points would be pretty unlucky, but being knocked out on three and you could have few complaints.

In 82 Italy drew their 3 group games (ok they bribed Cameroon) and went on to win it.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote HuntysCousin Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 19 Nov 2015 at 12:27am
Originally posted by Gary McKay Gary McKay wrote:

Originally posted by SuperDave84 SuperDave84 wrote:

Yeah, four points (aka a win and a draw, back in Italia '90 and Mexico '86) really increases the odds of progress. Five out of six in USA '94 progressed with a win and a draw (Norway, in our group, being the unlucky ones), four out of four in Italia '90, and four out of four in Mexico '86. It would even have been enough in Spain '82, had they used the same format, where six out of six teams on four points would have qualified (albeit of course the format was different and a number of teams failed to make it through).

Getting knocked out on four points would be pretty unlucky, but being knocked out on three and you could have few complaints.

In 82 Italy drew their 3 group games (ok they bribed Cameroon) and went on to win it.

Wonder if Delaney has any of that 5 million left.....
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote babbsnuts Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 19 Nov 2015 at 12:55am
Portugal/England
Austria
Hungary
Ireland


I don't rate Austria at all - watched all their games against Sweden during the qualifications, and I honestly thought Sweden has been the better side every time. 3 penalties in the last 4 games against the Swedes as well for the Austrians.

Hungary is the obvious choice in pot 3 - in pot 1 I prefer Portugal over England.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote gspain Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 19 Nov 2015 at 10:07am
Originally posted by rolo rolo wrote:

all the third place teams face a group winner in the 2nd round.

That winner comes from Groups A-D.

So to avoid playing France in Lyon in the second round, 4 points should be the target.

Thats assuming France win their group.


Would gladly take France in Lyon in the 2nd round and take my chances.  In fact I'd bite your hand off for it.
We could face a lot worse.  

Note this has nothing to do with the fact that it is one of the 2 games I currently have a ticket for.  Smile

I agree 4 points should be the target (and not go home on 4 aka Norway 1994).  Getting to the knockout stages would make it a very good euros.  Getting any further would make it a fantastic tournament.   
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote GB 1HughJarse Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Nov 2015 at 8:42pm
Are these draws rigged to favour the host nation?
OK that might seem a bit paranoid but over the years the host nations in Euro's and WC's do seem to get handy draws to guarantee their safe passage to the knockout rounds, and after what we have seen at FIFA and UEFA would u even be surprised?
If France were given a handy draw, would ourselves, Turkey and Wales be considered the best of Pot 4, leaving Iceland, Norn Iron and Albania as an easier draw?
(Yes I know Iceland had a great qualifying campaign, but Holland Turkey and Czech Republic were very erratic).
Have the French forgotten about Henry's Handball from 2009, do they know we would love to do a number on them?
Either way, bet we DON'T get France in the draw....ybig
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Trap junior Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Nov 2015 at 10:54pm
Definitely in the world cup there is rigging. When I say definitely I mean I have a strong suspicion that not only is the draw rigged but also that the referees are handpicked to offer favours to the home nations.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Drumcondra 69er Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Nov 2015 at 11:15pm
Originally posted by Trap junior Trap junior wrote:

Definitely in the world cup there is rigging. When I say definitely I mean I have a strong suspicion that not only is the draw rigged but also that the referees are handpicked to offer favours to the home nations.


Some of the decisions South Korea got in 2002 were laughable to he fair....

They were against top tier nations mind you...

Edited by Drumcondra 69er - 22 Nov 2015 at 11:16pm
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Bitored Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Nov 2015 at 11:26pm
I doubt the draws are rigged as they are shown live and reporters would flag up their suspicions straight away. I've also watched the draws and never noticed anything untoward. There's also the fact they use various legends from the past and to rig the draws would surely mean involving the likes of Zidane, Figo and Pele.

As far as referrees being favourable to home sides I'd certainly go along with that. But that happens all the time, I think a ref will regularly be more favourable to a home side be it an U12 junior game in the Sligo/Leitrim league or a Euros or World Cup. Refs are treated very well at tournaments and get to live the high life for a few weeks. I think it's only natural that if you get to see the best of a country you would have a soft spot for them. Maybe then there's more sinister stuff going on like fifa hinting it would be good for a refs own career if he give any 50/50 decisions towards the host nation.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote grannyrule Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Nov 2015 at 11:29pm
Our draw to get Estonia in the last Euros had to have been rigged. Too coincidental. It was a reward from UEFA after the Henry incident. That or maybe we're just very lucky.

Edited by grannyrule - 22 Nov 2015 at 11:31pm
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ConorMac77 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Nov 2015 at 11:38pm
Originally posted by Drumcondra 69er Drumcondra 69er wrote:

Originally posted by Trap junior Trap junior wrote:

Definitely in the world cup there is rigging. When I say definitely I mean I have a strong suspicion that not only is the draw rigged but also that the referees are handpicked to offer favours to the home nations.


Some of the decisions South Korea got in 2002 were laughable to he fair....

They were against top tier nations mind you...

I know the Italian conspiracy theorists had a field day after South Korea beat them in the 2nd round but it surely wouldn't have got to that stage if Vieri hadn't missed a sitter in that game.

What really started to get tongues wagging for me was Spain being absolutely robbed against Korea in the quarters. Remember the pull back for Morientes to head home only for the officials to disallow the goal saying the ball had gone out over the goal line before it was crossed and gave a goal kick instead. TV Replays showed the ball was nowhere near over the line! That was the pi** take for me. Angry
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Trap junior Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Nov 2015 at 11:40pm
Originally posted by ConorMac77 ConorMac77 wrote:

Originally posted by Drumcondra 69er Drumcondra 69er wrote:

Originally posted by Trap junior Trap junior wrote:

Definitely in the world cup there is rigging. When I say definitely I mean I have a strong suspicion that not only is the draw rigged but also that the referees are handpicked to offer favours to the home nations.


Some of the decisions South Korea got in 2002 were laughable to he fair....

They were against top tier nations mind you...

I know the Italian conspiracy theorists had a field day after South Korea beat them in the 2nd round but it surely wouldn't have got to that stage if Vieri hadn't missed a sitter in that game.

What really started to get tongues wagging for me was Spain being absolutely robbed against Korea in the quarters. Remember the pull back for Morientes to head home only for the officials to disallow the goal saying the ball had gone out over the goal line before it was crossed and gave a goal kick instead. TV Replays showed the ball was nowhere near over the line! That was the pi** take for me. Angry


I think Italy had 3 goals disallowed in that game
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Trap junior Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Nov 2015 at 11:53pm


The Irish co-commentatorLOL
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guest Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Nov 2015 at 11:59pm
Originally posted by grannyrule grannyrule wrote:

Our draw to get Estonia in the last Euros had to have been rigged. Too coincidental. It was a reward from UEFA after the Henry incident. That or maybe we're just very lucky.
No the reward was Spain Italy and Croatia and that was unlucky LOL
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ConorMac77 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 23 Nov 2015 at 12:17am
Originally posted by Trap junior Trap junior wrote:



The Irish co-commentatorLOL


Some awful refereeing alright in that one and in that quarter-final I mentioned.

Surely there won't be any dodgy refereeing to help the hosts along at Euro 2016 will it? Still, I'd prefer if Ireland can avoid Group A to be on the safe side Wink
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